York
vs
Accrington ST
1 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | Donald Love | ||
| 55′ | Jack Hunt | ||
| 61′ | Josh Woods | ||
| 63′ | Alex NewbyFrankie Maguire | ||
| 63′ | Jeff KingJoseph Rabole Felix | ||
| 63′ | Jack HuntRyan Fallowfield | ||
| 73′ | Ollie BanksHiram Boateng | ||
| 73′ | Alex HuntArthur Read | ||
| 80′ | Charlie WarrenConor Grant | ||
| 81′ | Arthur Read | ||
| 82′ | Aidan borland | ||
| 87′ | Stefan Mols | ||
| 88′ | Stefan MolsCharlie·Brown | ||
| 90′ | Ollie Pearce |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 445 | Accurate passes | 254 |
York vs Accrington ST overview
Garuda Lions analysis: York vs Accrington ST
| Probability | York | Draw | Accrington ST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.9% | 25.4% | 26.7% |
| Market | 54.8% | 23.9% | 21.4% |
| Final | 53.1% | 24.3% | 22.7% |
| Edge | -1.7% | +0.4% | +1.3% |
Why York
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.28.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
York and Accrington ST expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.06
York and Accrington ST attack and defence ratings
York
Accrington ST
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
York vs Accrington ST: result vs prediction
York 1 – 1 Accrington ST
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
York vs Accrington ST markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 53.1% | 1.88 | -1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 53.1% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Accrington ST | 22.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | York win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 52.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.4% |
York vs Accrington ST stats
York and Accrington ST recent form
| York |
DDWLWD |
| Accrington ST |
WDWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
York and Accrington ST going into this match
York record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Accrington ST record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
York vs Accrington ST head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-29 | Accrington ST | York | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2016-04-23 | Accrington ST | York | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2015-11-28 | York | Accrington ST | League Two | 1-5 |
| 2015-11-07 | Accrington ST | York | FA Cup | 3-2 |
| 2015-03-21 | Accrington ST | York | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2014-12-26 | York | Accrington ST | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2014-04-12 | York | Accrington ST | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2013-12-26 | Accrington ST | York | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2013-04-06 | York | Accrington ST | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2012-10-23 | Accrington ST | York | League Two | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
York vs Accrington ST odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.8%, draw 23.9%, away 21.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 3.90 | 4.39 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.80 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 3.95 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 4.03 | 4.55 |
| SBO | 1.73 | 3.42 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .