Gillingham
vs
Grimsby
1 – 4 Full time
| 7′ | Harvey Rodgers | ||
| 24′ | Garath McCleary | ||
| 37′ | Ronan Chapman Hale | ||
| 43′ | Géza Dávid Turi | ||
| 51′ | Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor | ||
| 53′ | Armani Little | ||
| 54′ | Iwan Morgan | ||
| 55′ | Justin Ikechukwu Obiora AmaluzorSonny Finch | ||
| 62′ | Maldini Kacurri | ||
| 63′ | Géza Dávid Turi | ||
| 66′ | Garath McClearyTom Eaves | ||
| 67′ | Nick FreemanS. Kendall | ||
| 70′ | Sonny Finch | ||
| 72′ | Géza Dávid TuriMark Shelton | ||
| 72′ | Iwan MorganJosh andrews | ||
| 79′ | Armani LittleEthan·Coleman | ||
| 81′ | Kieran GreenCian Doyle | ||
| 81′ | Jamie WalkerFinn Cartwright | ||
| 89′ | Sonny Finch | ||
| 90′ | Ethan·Coleman |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 241 | Accurate passes | 177 |
Gillingham vs Grimsby overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gillingham vs Grimsby
| Probability | Gillingham | Draw | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.7% | 26.2% | 25.2% |
| Market | 29.2% | 27.4% | 43.4% |
| Final | 34.0% | 27.1% | 38.8% |
| Edge | +4.9% | -0.3% | -4.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gillingham and Grimsby expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Gillingham and Grimsby attack and defence ratings
Gillingham
Grimsby
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gillingham vs Grimsby: result vs prediction
Gillingham 1 – 4 Grimsby
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gillingham vs Grimsby markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grimsby | 38.8% | 2.57 | -4.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gillingham | 34.0% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Grimsby | 38.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Grimsby win | 10.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.6% | |
| Loss | 74.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Gillingham vs Grimsby stats
Gillingham and Grimsby recent form
| Gillingham |
DLWDLW |
| Grimsby |
DLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gillingham and Grimsby going into this match
Gillingham record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Grimsby record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Gillingham vs Grimsby head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Gillingham | Grimsby | League Two | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-18 | Grimsby | Gillingham | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-28 | Grimsby | Gillingham | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-01 | Gillingham | Grimsby | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-16 | Gillingham | Grimsby | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-02 | Grimsby | Gillingham | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-14 | Gillingham | Grimsby | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2022-09-13 | Grimsby | Gillingham | League Two | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gillingham vs Grimsby odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.2%, draw 27.4%, away 43.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.27 | 3.36 | 2.10 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.55 | 2.16 |
| Marathonbet | 3.25 | 3.36 | 2.08 |
| Pinnacle | 3.29 | 3.48 | 2.19 |
| SBO | 2.86 | 3.05 | 2.03 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .