Gillingham
vs
Port Vale
1 – 1 Full time
| 42′ | Ronan Chapman Hale | ||
| 45′ | George Cardinal Joseph·HallKyle Dempsey | ||
| 45′ | Onel HernándezOliver Lynch | ||
| 45′ | Max Watters Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales | ||
| 56′ | Jasper·Moon | ||
| 66′ | Kyle JohnJaheim·Headley | ||
| 66′ | Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales | ||
| 70′ | Ethan·ColemanHarry Waldock | ||
| 74′ | Ronan Chapman HaleGarath McCleary | ||
| 79′ | Conor McManus | ||
| 84′ | Conor McManusMichael Luxton | ||
| 84′ | Tom EavesS. Kendall | ||
| 85′ | Jack Daley | ||
| 90′ | Ben GarrityRhys Walters |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 186 | Accurate passes | 321 |
Gillingham vs Port Vale overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gillingham vs Port Vale
| Probability | Gillingham | Draw | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.4% | 30.5% | 20.2% |
| Market | 28.8% | 28.9% | 42.3% |
| Final | 34.0% | 29.3% | 36.7% |
| Edge | +5.1% | +0.4% | -5.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gillingham and Port Vale expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.13
Gillingham and Port Vale attack and defence ratings
Gillingham
Port Vale
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gillingham vs Port Vale: result vs prediction
Gillingham 1 – 1 Port Vale
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gillingham vs Port Vale markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Port Vale | 36.7% | 2.72 | -5.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gillingham | 34.0% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Port Vale | 36.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.4% |
| No | 58.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Port Vale win | 6.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.7% | |
| Loss | 79.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.8% |
| 1-1 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 13.0% |
Gillingham vs Port Vale stats
Gillingham and Port Vale recent form
| Gillingham |
LWDLWW |
| Port Vale |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gillingham and Port Vale going into this match
Gillingham record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Port Vale record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gillingham vs Port Vale head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Port Vale | Gillingham | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Gillingham | Port Vale | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2017-02-11 | Gillingham | Port Vale | League One | 1-1 |
| 2016-09-17 | Port Vale | Gillingham | League One | 2-1 |
| 2016-04-16 | Gillingham | Port Vale | League One | 0-2 |
| 2015-08-15 | Port Vale | Gillingham | League One | 1-1 |
| 2015-01-03 | Port Vale | Gillingham | League One | 2-1 |
| 2014-11-29 | Gillingham | Port Vale | League One | 2-2 |
| 2014-02-01 | Gillingham | Port Vale | League One | 3-2 |
| 2013-10-26 | Port Vale | Gillingham | League One | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gillingham vs Port Vale odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.8%, draw 28.9%, away 42.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.15 | 3.22 | 2.22 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.29 |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 3.22 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.27 | 3.35 | 2.26 |
| SBO | 3.01 | 3.04 | 2.14 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .