Chesterfield
vs
Tranmere
4 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | Paul Anthony Cook | ||
| 15′ | Dilan Markanday | ||
| 18′ | Tom Conlon | ||
| 21′ | Lee Bonis | ||
| 34′ | Zane Okorodylan jones | ||
| 41′ | Joe Ironside | ||
| 54′ | George McEachran | ||
| 57′ | Joel Senior | ||
| 59′ | dylan jones | ||
| 61′ | Joe IronsideDavid Kamara | ||
| 61′ | Tom ConlonSam Finley | ||
| 71′ | Joel RandallJosh Koroma | ||
| 79′ | Kyle McFadzean | ||
| 83′ | Louie Marsh | ||
| 85′ | Josh Koroma | ||
| 87′ | Lewis GordonTom Pearce | ||
| 87′ | Remeao HuttonJunior Eccleston | ||
| 88′ | George McEachranKiano Dyer | ||
| 88′ | Louie MarshLiam Mandeville | ||
| 90′ | Josh Koroma | ||
| 90′ | Jacob Slater |
Match stats
| 26 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 437 | Accurate passes | 181 |
Chesterfield vs Tranmere overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chesterfield vs Tranmere
| Probability | Chesterfield | Draw | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.1% | 30.5% | 26.4% |
| Market | 55.8% | 23.5% | 20.7% |
| Final | 52.6% | 25.3% | 22.2% |
| Edge | -12.7% | +7.0% | +5.7% |
Why Chesterfield
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chesterfield and Tranmere expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Chesterfield and Tranmere attack and defence ratings
Chesterfield
Tranmere
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chesterfield vs Tranmere: result vs prediction
Chesterfield 4 – 2 Tranmere
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chesterfield vs Tranmere markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 52.6% | 1.90 | -12.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 52.6% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Tranmere | 22.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chesterfield win | 20.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 56.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
Chesterfield vs Tranmere stats
Chesterfield and Tranmere recent form
| Chesterfield |
LWWDDL |
| Tranmere |
DDLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chesterfield and Tranmere going into this match
Chesterfield record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Tranmere record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chesterfield vs Tranmere head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Chesterfield | Tranmere | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Tranmere | Chesterfield | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Tranmere | Chesterfield | League Two | 4-0 |
| 2024-12-07 | Chesterfield | Tranmere | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2012-12-01 | Tranmere | Chesterfield | FA Cup | 2-1 |
| 2012-08-14 | Chesterfield | Tranmere | League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2012-03-03 | Chesterfield | Tranmere | League One | 1-0 |
| 2011-11-09 | Chesterfield | Tranmere | EFL Trophy | 4-3 |
| 2011-08-06 | Tranmere | Chesterfield | League One | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chesterfield vs Tranmere odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.8%, draw 23.5%, away 20.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 4.26 | 4.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.85 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.96 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 4.22 | 4.49 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.55 | 4.08 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .