Tranmere
vs
Rochdale
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tranmere
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Tranmere vs Rochdale overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tranmere vs Rochdale
| Probability | Tranmere | Draw | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.9% | 27.9% | 35.3% |
| Market | 46.7% | 27.0% | 26.4% |
| Final | 44.2% | 27.2% | 28.6% |
| Edge | -9.8% | +0.9% | +8.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Tranmere vs Rochdale match preview
Tranmere faces Rochdale in a League Two clash with both teams showing contrasting recent form. Tranmere has recorded one win in their last six matches, with a record of L-D-D-L-W-D, while Rochdale has been more successful, winning four of their last six games, including three consecutive victories. The model probabilities suggest a close contest, with Tranmere at 37%, Rochdale at 35%, and a draw at 28%.
The expected goals for the match indicate a competitive encounter, with Tranmere at 1.40 and Rochdale at 1.36. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Tranmere, occurring with an 8% probability. Additionally, there is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% likelihood that both teams will score. The head-to-head record shows that in their last meeting, there was one draw, with no wins for either side.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tranmere and Rochdale expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Tranmere and Rochdale attack and defence ratings
Tranmere
Rochdale
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Rotherham v Gillingham — match page
- Bristol Rovers vs Barnet — team news & stats
- Fleetwood Town vs Walsall
- Port Vale v Grimsby — match page
- Shrewsbury vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Crawley Town vs Chesterfield
- Newport County v Colchester — match page
- Cheltenham vs Salford City — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Tranmere vs Rochdale markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 44.2% | 2.26 | -9.8% | 2.05 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 44.2% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Rochdale | 28.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% |
| No | 42.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tranmere win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 63.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Tranmere vs Rochdale stats
Tranmere and Rochdale recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tranmere and Rochdale season so far
Tranmere record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rochdale record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Tranmere vs Rochdale head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Tranmere | Rochdale | League Cup | 2-2 |
| 2023-07-18 | Tranmere | Rochdale | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2023-04-18 | Rochdale | Tranmere | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-25 | Tranmere | Rochdale | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2022-01-15 | Tranmere | Rochdale | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-11 | Rochdale | Tranmere | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2019-08-03 | Tranmere | Rochdale | League One | 2-3 |
| 2012-03-20 | Rochdale | Tranmere | League One | 0-2 |
| 2012-01-17 | Tranmere | Rochdale | League One | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tranmere vs Rochdale odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 27.0%, away 26.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.46 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.45 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 3.55 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 3.46 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.57 | 3.53 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 2.99 | 3.16 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .