Tranmere
vs
Rochdale
1 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | Tom Conlon | ||
| 57′ | Dajaune Brown | ||
| 66′ | David KamaraCharlie Veevers | ||
| 68′ | Cian HayesEmmanuel Dieseruvwe | ||
| 82′ | dylan jonesJoe Ironside | ||
| 88′ | K. TaylorEdward Francis | ||
| 90′ | Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 276 | Accurate passes | 437 |
Tranmere vs Rochdale overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tranmere vs Rochdale
| Probability | Tranmere | Draw | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.9% | 27.9% | 35.3% |
| Market | 48.0% | 26.7% | 25.3% |
| Final | 45.2% | 27.0% | 27.8% |
| Edge | -2.8% | +0.3% | +2.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tranmere and Rochdale expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Tranmere and Rochdale attack and defence ratings
Tranmere
Rochdale
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tranmere vs Rochdale: result vs prediction
Tranmere 1 – 1 Rochdale
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tranmere vs Rochdale markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 45.2% | 2.21 | -2.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 45.2% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Rochdale | 27.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% |
| No | 42.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tranmere win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 63.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Tranmere vs Rochdale stats
Tranmere and Rochdale recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tranmere and Rochdale going into this match
Tranmere record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rochdale record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Tranmere vs Rochdale head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Tranmere | Rochdale | League Cup | 2-2 |
| 2023-07-18 | Tranmere | Rochdale | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2023-04-18 | Rochdale | Tranmere | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-25 | Tranmere | Rochdale | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2022-01-15 | Tranmere | Rochdale | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-11 | Rochdale | Tranmere | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2019-08-03 | Tranmere | Rochdale | League One | 2-3 |
| 2012-03-20 | Rochdale | Tranmere | League One | 0-2 |
| 2012-01-17 | Tranmere | Rochdale | League One | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tranmere vs Rochdale odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 26.7%, away 25.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.52 | 3.64 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.55 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.52 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.73 | 3.79 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.05 | 3.24 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .