Oldham
vs
Crawley Town
0 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | Kai Payne | ||
| 18′ | Favour fawunmiTom Pett | ||
| 25′ | Kai Jennings | ||
| 30′ | Kane drummond | ||
| 39′ | Kai JenningsPemi Aderoju | ||
| 52′ | Danilo Orsi | ||
| 54′ | Oliver NorburnThomas Hill | ||
| 60′ | Thomas Hill | ||
| 63′ | Donervorn Daniels | ||
| 71′ | Stephen·Duke-MckennaDion Pereira | ||
| 72′ | Jonathan Russell | ||
| 72′ | Calum KavanaghJosh Hawkes | ||
| 78′ | Jonathan RussellJosh Flint | ||
| 78′ | Danilo OrsiAde Adeyemo | ||
| 85′ | Kellan Gordon |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 143 | Accurate passes | 274 |
Oldham vs Crawley Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oldham vs Crawley Town
| Probability | Oldham | Draw | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.3% | 26.0% | 27.7% |
| Market | 55.1% | 23.3% | 21.6% |
| Final | 52.9% | 23.9% | 23.1% |
| Edge | -2.2% | +0.7% | +1.5% |
Why Oldham
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.27.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oldham and Crawley Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Oldham and Crawley Town attack and defence ratings
Oldham
Crawley Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oldham vs Crawley Town: result vs prediction
Oldham 0 – 1 Crawley Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oldham vs Crawley Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oldham | 52.9% | 1.89 | -2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oldham | 52.9% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Crawley Town | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% |
| No | 39.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oldham win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 53.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 7.5% |
Oldham vs Crawley Town stats
Oldham and Crawley Town recent form
| Oldham |
DLWDLL |
| Crawley Town |
DLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oldham and Crawley Town going into this match
Oldham record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Crawley Town record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Oldham vs Crawley Town head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Oldham | Crawley Town | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Crawley Town | Oldham | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2022-05-07 | Oldham | Crawley Town | League Two | 3-3 |
| 2022-03-01 | Crawley Town | Oldham | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2021-04-05 | Crawley Town | Oldham | League Two | 1-4 |
| 2020-09-26 | Oldham | Crawley Town | League Two | 2-3 |
| 2020-03-07 | Crawley Town | Oldham | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2019-12-21 | Oldham | Crawley Town | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2019-02-09 | Crawley Town | Oldham | League Two | 0-3 |
| 2018-09-01 | Oldham | Crawley Town | League Two | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Oldham vs Crawley Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.1%, draw 23.3%, away 21.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 4.05 | 4.34 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.95 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.71 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 4.05 | 4.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 4.14 | 4.32 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.56 | 3.83 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .