Wimborne Town
vs
Crawley Town
2 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | S. Yang | ||
| 15′ | Joe Smith | ||
| 45′ | Danilo OrsiPemi Aderoju | ||
| 45′ | Kai JenningsNathan Tinsdale | ||
| 45′ | Lewis RichardsJosh Flint | ||
| 51′ | Samuel Roberts | ||
| 59′ | Joe SmithMax Francisco Bustamante Macaire | ||
| 61′ | Cameron Munn | ||
| 69′ | Priestley FarquharsonBen Heneghan | ||
| 71′ | Max Francisco Bustamante MacaireJackson King | ||
| 72′ | Nathan Tinsdale | ||
| 76′ | Jonathan RussellMalcolm Ebiowei | ||
| 79′ | Cameron Munn | ||
| 84′ | Charlie Barker | ||
| 85′ | Samuel RobertsTyler Edmondson | ||
| 85′ | Cameron MunnFinley Jude Toghill | ||
| 85′ | Owen RoundellJosh Carmichael | ||
| 90′ | Jackson King | ||
| 90′ | Ángel Francisco Díaz Villa |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 87 | Accurate passes | 233 |
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town
| Probability | Wimborne Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.9% | 26.4% | 16.6% |
| Market | 17.8% | 21.2% | 61.0% |
| Final | 27.6% | 22.5% | 49.9% |
| Edge | +9.8% | +1.3% | -11.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wimborne Town and Crawley Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Wimborne Town and Crawley Town attack and defence ratings
Wimborne Town
Crawley Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town: result vs prediction
Wimborne Town 2 – 0 Crawley Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Oxford City v Leicester — match page
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crawley Town | 49.9% | 2.00 | -11.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wimborne Town | 27.6% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Crawley Town | 49.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.8% |
| No | 54.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Crawley Town win | 5.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.3% | |
| Loss | 83.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.0% |
| 1-1 | 12.4% | |
| 2-0 | 11.8% |
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town stats
Wimborne Town and Crawley Town recent form
| Wimborne Town |
WWDDWD |
| Crawley Town |
WDLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wimborne Town and Crawley Town going into this match
Wimborne Town record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.8%, draw 21.2%, away 61.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.30 | 4.40 | 1.53 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.33 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.10 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 4.85 | 4.30 | 1.55 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.53 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.50 | 1.58 |
| Marathonbet | 5.40 | 4.40 | 1.51 |
| Pinnacle | 4.95 | 4.71 | 1.52 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.53 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .