Bradford
vs
Marine
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bradford
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bradford vs Marine overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bradford vs Marine
| Probability | Bradford | Draw | Marine |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.2% | 36.2% | 23.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.2% | 36.2% | 23.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Bradford vs Marine match preview
Bradford faces Marine in the FA Cup with a forecasted probability of 40% for a Bradford win, 36% for a draw, and 24% for a Marine victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring at a 17% probability. Expected goals for Bradford stand at 0.99, while Marine is projected at 0.69, indicating a tighter contest.
In terms of recent form, Bradford has recorded two draws and three wins in their last six matches, while Marine has three wins, two losses, and one draw in their last six. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 24%, and both teams scoring is predicted at 33%. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in these projections.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bradford and Marine expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.69
Bradford and Marine attack and defence ratings
Bradford
Marine
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
- Port Vale vs Scunthorpe — team news & stats
- Accrington ST vs Wycombe
Before and after this match
Bradford vs Marine markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bradford | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bradford | 40.2% |
| Draw | 36.2% | |
| Marine | 23.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.8% |
| No | 67.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bradford win | 16.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 59.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.8% |
| 1-0 | 17.1% | |
| 1-1 | 14.0% |
Bradford vs Marine stats
Bradford and Marine recent form
| Bradford |
DDWDDW |
| Marine |
WWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.