Bradford
vs
Doncaster
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bradford
2 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 0.53.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bradford vs Doncaster overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bradford vs Doncaster
| Probability | Bradford | Draw | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80.1% | 14.7% | 5.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 80.1% | 14.7% | 5.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Bradford
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Bradford vs Doncaster match preview
Bradford will face Doncaster in their upcoming League One match, with the model indicating an 80% probability of a Bradford victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0, occurring at a rate of 15%. Bradford's expected goals stand at 2.53, while Doncaster's are significantly lower at 0.53. Recent form shows Bradford with a mixed record of W-L-W-D-D-W, while Doncaster has struggled, recording L-L-L-W-L-L.
The model suggests a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, but only a 38% likelihood that both teams will score. In their last two encounters, Bradford and Doncaster have each secured one win, indicating a competitive rivalry. The confidence grade for this forecast is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bradford and Doncaster expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.06
Bradford and Doncaster attack and defence ratings
Bradford
Doncaster
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Leicester
- Burton Albion v Luton — match page
- Oxford United vs Wycombe — team news & stats
- Plymouth v Peterborough — match page
- Cambridge United vs Stockport County — team news & stats
- Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon
- Mansfield Town v Milton Keynes Dons — match page
- Notts County vs Stevenage — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Bradford vs Doncaster markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bradford | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.5% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bradford win | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bradford | 80.1% |
| Draw | 14.7% | |
| Doncaster | 5.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.5% |
| No | 61.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 19.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bradford win | 58.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 19.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.0% |
| 3-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-0 | 11.3% |
Bradford vs Doncaster stats
Bradford and Doncaster recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bradford and Doncaster season so far
Bradford record
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Doncaster record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bradford vs Doncaster head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Bradford | Doncaster | League One | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Doncaster | Bradford | League One | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.