Oxford United
vs
Wycombe
Garuda Lions Prediction: Oxford United
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.96.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Oxford United vs Wycombe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oxford United vs Wycombe
| Probability | Oxford United | Draw | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.0% | 28.4% | 22.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.0% | 28.4% | 22.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Oxford United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.96.
Oxford United vs Wycombe match preview
Oxford United enters this match with a 49% probability of winning against Wycombe, who have a 23% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a probability of 12%. Oxford's expected goals stand at 1.51, while Wycombe's are at 0.96, indicating a stronger attacking performance from Oxford.
In terms of recent form, Oxford United has recorded a mixed set of results with their last five matches showing one win, two draws, and two losses. Conversely, Wycombe has performed slightly better with three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six games. The probability of both teams scoring is at 49%, and there is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oxford United and Wycombe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Oxford United and Wycombe attack and defence ratings
Oxford United
Wycombe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Leicester
- Burton Albion v Luton — match page
- Bradford vs Doncaster
- Plymouth v Peterborough — match page
- Cambridge United vs Stockport County — team news & stats
- Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon
- Mansfield Town v Milton Keynes Dons — match page
- Notts County vs Stevenage — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Oxford United vs Wycombe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oxford United | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oxford United | 49.0% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Wycombe | 22.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oxford United win | 25.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.7% |
Oxford United vs Wycombe stats
Oxford United and Wycombe recent form
| Oxford United |
LWDWDW |
| Wycombe |
WWDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oxford United and Wycombe season so far
Oxford United record
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wycombe record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.