England FA Cup · Full time ·1/128-finals

Accrington ST vs Wycombe

0 – 2 Full time

5′Connor Taylor
25′Danny IngsJayden Wareham
53′Donald LoveShaun Whalley
61′Silko ThomasAnders Hagelskjaer
61′Emre TezgelCaolan Boyd-Munce
61′Shaun Whalley
64′Conor GrantTom William Moore
69′Daniel Harvie
78′Aaron MorleyKyle Cross
78′Malik MothersilleJamie Mullins
83′Alex HendersonCharlie·Brown
83′Aidan borlandRonan Darcy
87′Connor Taylor
87′Devon matthews

The Crown Ground, Accrington

Accrington ST 36%
Draw 26%
Wycombe 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 4
36 Possession % 64
4 Corners 7
14 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 1

Accrington ST vs Wycombe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Accrington ST vs Wycombe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAccrington STDrawWycombe
Model54.8%24.8%20.4%
Market29.1%25.7%45.2%
Final35.5%25.5%39.0%
Edge+6.4%-0.2%-6.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Accrington ST ↓ / Wycombe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 2 9% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Accrington ST and Wycombe expected goals

Accrington ST 1.85
Wycombe 1.06

Total expected goals: 2.90

Accrington ST and Wycombe attack and defence ratings

Accrington ST

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Wycombe

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Accrington ST vs Wycombe: result vs prediction

Accrington ST 0 – 2 Wycombe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

England FA Cup

Before and after this match

Accrington ST vs Wycombe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wycombe 39.0% 2.57 -6.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.5% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.0% 1.79 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 79.6% 1.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Accrington ST35.5%
Draw25.5%
Wycombe39.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.5%
Under 2.544.5%
Both teams to scoreYes56.0%
No44.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.0%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)64.5%
Handicap -1Wycombe win7.8%
Push (exactly one goal)12.5%
Loss79.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-19.9%
2-09.4%

Accrington ST vs Wycombe stats

Accrington ST and Wycombe recent form

newest first
Accrington ST DWDWDW
Wycombe WDDWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Accrington ST vs Wycombe head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Accrington ST wins 1Draws 4Wycombe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-02-14Accrington STWycombeLeague One0-2
2022-09-13WycombeAccrington STLeague One1-0
2022-02-26Accrington STWycombeLeague One3-2
2021-08-07WycombeAccrington STLeague One2-1
2019-09-17WycombeAccrington STLeague One1-1
2019-03-12WycombeAccrington STLeague One1-3
2018-11-27Accrington STWycombeLeague One1-2
2018-04-21WycombeAccrington STLeague Two0-4
2017-11-21Accrington STWycombeLeague Two1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Accrington ST vs Wycombe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.1%, draw 25.7%, away 45.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.25 3.68 2.04
Bet365 3.30 3.40 2.10
BetVictor 3.10 3.50 2.05
Betano 3.15 3.55 2.12
Betfair 3.20 3.70 2.05
Dafabet 3.30 3.65 2.16
Marathonbet 3.25 3.68 2.02
Pinnacle 3.17 3.70 2.15
SBO 2.80 3.12 2.03
William Hill 3.10 3.40 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.19 ▼ -0.24
X 3.60 ▼ -0.05
2 2.05 ▲ +0.07

3 snapshots recorded, from .