Wycombe
vs
Burton Albion
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wycombe
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.52.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Wycombe vs Burton Albion overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wycombe vs Burton Albion
| Probability | Wycombe | Draw | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.9% | 24.3% | 30.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.9% | 24.3% | 30.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Wycombe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.52.
Wycombe vs Burton Albion match preview
Wycombe faces Burton Albion in a League One clash with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Wycombe has a 45% chance of winning, while Burton Albion stands at 31%, with a 24% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Wycombe, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring match, with a 66% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance that both teams will score.
Recent form shows Wycombe with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Burton Albion has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss. In their last two encounters, Wycombe has won once and drawn once against Burton Albion, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup. The expected goals for Wycombe is 1.86, compared to 1.52 for Burton Albion, indicating a competitive match ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wycombe and Burton Albion expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.38
Wycombe and Burton Albion attack and defence ratings
Wycombe
Burton Albion
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wycombe vs Burton Albion markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wycombe | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wycombe | 44.9% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Burton Albion | 30.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% |
| No | 33.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wycombe win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Wycombe vs Burton Albion stats
Wycombe and Burton Albion recent form
| Wycombe |
DDWLDW |
| Burton Albion |
WDDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wycombe and Burton Albion season so far
Wycombe record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Burton Albion record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Wycombe vs Burton Albion head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Wycombe | Burton Albion | League One | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Burton Albion | Wycombe | League One | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.