Wycombe
vs
Burton Albion
2 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | Daniel Harvie | ||
| 21′ | Jayden Wareham | ||
| 23′ | Malik Mothersille | ||
| 38′ | Toby Sibbick | ||
| 45′ | Jack ArmerH. Araujo | ||
| 53′ | Cauley Woodrow | ||
| 68′ | Malik MothersilleLuke Leahy | ||
| 68′ | Cauley WoodrowDanny Ings | ||
| 68′ | Jack GrimmerDan Casey | ||
| 69′ | M. O’MahonyMatthew Dennis | ||
| 69′ | Sulyman KruballyWill Collar | ||
| 82′ | Gbemi ArubiKain Adom | ||
| 82′ | Jason SrahaJoe Cameron Lewis |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 267 | Accurate passes | 251 |
Wycombe vs Burton Albion overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wycombe vs Burton Albion
| Probability | Wycombe | Draw | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.2% | 24.3% | 30.5% |
| Market | 60.9% | 22.1% | 17.1% |
| Final | 56.9% | 22.6% | 20.4% |
| Edge | -3.9% | +0.6% | +3.4% |
Why Wycombe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.52.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wycombe and Burton Albion expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.38
Wycombe and Burton Albion attack and defence ratings
Wycombe
Burton Albion
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wycombe vs Burton Albion: result vs prediction
Wycombe 2 – 0 Burton Albion
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wycombe vs Burton Albion markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wycombe | 56.9% | 1.76 | -3.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wycombe | 56.9% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Burton Albion | 20.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% |
| No | 33.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wycombe win | 25.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Wycombe vs Burton Albion stats
Wycombe and Burton Albion recent form
| Wycombe |
DDWLDW |
| Burton Albion |
WDDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wycombe and Burton Albion going into this match
Wycombe record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Burton Albion record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
Wycombe vs Burton Albion head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Wycombe | Burton Albion | League One | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Burton Albion | Wycombe | League One | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-04 | Wycombe | Burton Albion | League One | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-22 | Burton Albion | Wycombe | League One | 2-3 |
| 2024-01-06 | Burton Albion | Wycombe | League One | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-19 | Wycombe | Burton Albion | League One | 0-0 |
| 2023-03-11 | Burton Albion | Wycombe | League One | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-30 | Wycombe | Burton Albion | League One | 3-0 |
| 2022-04-30 | Burton Albion | Wycombe | League One | 1-2 |
| 2021-12-07 | Wycombe | Burton Albion | League One | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wycombe vs Burton Albion odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.9%, draw 22.1%, away 17.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 4.25 | 5.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.25 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 4.25 | 5.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 4.41 | 5.47 |
| SBO | 1.44 | 3.74 | 4.84 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .