AFC Wimbledon
vs
Wycombe
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wycombe
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe
| Probability | AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.4% | 25.1% | 48.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.4% | 25.1% | 48.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Wycombe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe match preview
AFC Wimbledon faces Wycombe in a League One matchup where the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. AFC Wimbledon has a 26% chance of winning, while Wycombe leads with a 48% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of Wycombe, with an expected goals tally of 1.29 for Wimbledon and 1.81 for Wycombe.
In terms of recent form, AFC Wimbledon has recorded two losses, two draws, and one win in their last five matches. Conversely, Wycombe has shown stronger performance with three wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. Both teams are expected to score, with a 62% likelihood, and there is a 60% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AFC Wimbledon and Wycombe expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
AFC Wimbledon and Wycombe attack and defence ratings
AFC Wimbledon
Wycombe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Reading vs Barnsley — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient
- Oxford United vs Bradford — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday
- Blackpool v Mansfield Town — match page
- Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons — team news & stats
- Cambridge United vs Plymouth
- Notts County v Stockport County — match page
Before and after this match
AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wycombe | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AFC Wimbledon | 26.4% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Wycombe | 48.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% |
| No | 38.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wycombe win | 27.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 51.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.4% |
AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe stats
AFC Wimbledon and Wycombe recent form
| AFC Wimbledon |
LLDDWW |
| Wycombe |
WLDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AFC Wimbledon and Wycombe season so far
AFC Wimbledon record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Wycombe record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Wycombe | AFC Wimbledon | League One | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | AFC Wimbledon | Wycombe | League One | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.