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League One · Full time ·Matchday 13

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe

1 – 1 Full time

29′Jayden Stockley
60′Fred Onyedinma
61′Jamie MullinsSilko Thomas
65′Ollie HarrisonCallum Maycock
65′Harry CornickSteven Sessegnon
67′Steve Seddon
74′Cauley WoodrowAaron Morley
82′Aron SasuH. Hedges
82′Myles HippolyteZack Nelson
86′Josh ScowenLuke Leahy
86′Caolan Boyd-MunceJunior Quitirna

Plough Lane, Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon 23%
Draw 25%
Wycombe 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
34 Possession % 66
7 Corners 5
8 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 1
5 Saves 1
173 Accurate passes 399

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAFC WimbledonDrawWycombe
Model22.2%24.3%53.5%
Market23.4%25.3%51.2%
Final23.1%25.1%51.8%
Edge-0.3%-0.2%+0.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Wycombe

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AFC Wimbledon ↓ / Wycombe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

AFC Wimbledon and Wycombe expected goals

AFC Wimbledon 1.17
Wycombe 1.90

Total expected goals: 3.08

AFC Wimbledon and Wycombe attack and defence ratings

AFC Wimbledon

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Wycombe

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe: result vs prediction

AFC Wimbledon 1 – 1 Wycombe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wycombe 51.8% 1.93 +0.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.4% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.8% 1.67 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.6% 2.15 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AFC Wimbledon23.1%
Draw25.1%
Wycombe51.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.4%
Under 2.540.6%
Both teams to scoreYes59.8%
No40.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.2%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)76.9%
Handicap -1Wycombe win31.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss46.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
1-29.8%
0-28.4%

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe stats

AFC Wimbledon and Wycombe recent form

newest first
AFC Wimbledon LLLDDW
Wycombe DWLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AFC Wimbledon and Wycombe going into this match

league record before kick-off

AFC Wimbledon record

  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.

Wycombe record

  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4AFC Wimbledon wins 3Draws 2Wycombe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-04WycombeAFC WimbledonLeague One2-0
2025-09-27AFC WimbledonWycombeLeague One2-1
2024-08-20AFC WimbledonWycombeEFL Trophy1-0
2023-11-18WycombeAFC WimbledonEFL Trophy1-0
2022-04-18AFC WimbledonWycombeLeague One1-1
2021-12-11WycombeAFC WimbledonLeague One2-2
2019-08-31AFC WimbledonWycombeLeague One0-0
2019-04-27AFC WimbledonWycombeLeague One2-1
2018-12-22WycombeAFC WimbledonLeague One1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.4%, draw 25.3%, away 51.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.03 3.72 1.81
Bet365 4.00 3.70 1.80
BetVictor 4.00 3.70 1.83
Betano 4.00 3.70 1.83
Betfair 4.20 3.75 1.80
Dafabet 3.95 3.80 1.88
Marathonbet 4.05 3.72 1.79
Pinnacle 4.34 3.70 1.85
SBO 3.28 3.13 1.84
William Hill 3.80 3.50 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.00 ▲ +0.89
X 3.70 ▲ +0.26
2 1.83 ▼ -0.32

9 snapshots recorded, from .