Luton
vs
Leicester
2 – 1 Full time
| 39′ | Nahki Wells | ||
| 45′ | Caleb OkoliWes Burns | ||
| 45′ | Louis PageWill Smallbone | ||
| 64′ | Tudor Mendel-IdowuJake Richards | ||
| 68′ | John Lundstram | ||
| 73′ | Samuel Charles BraybrookeConor Chaplin | ||
| 76′ | Nahki WellsCallum Marshall | ||
| 83′ | K. DoyleLiam Cullen | ||
| 85′ | Kasey PalmerE. Lawrence | ||
| 85′ | John Lundstram | ||
| 89′ | Warren O'HoraBobby Reid | ||
| 90′ | Liam Cullen | ||
| 90′ | Wes Burns | ||
| 90′ | Callum Marshall |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 9 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 4 | Saves | 6 |
| 285 | Accurate passes | 434 |
Luton vs Leicester overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Luton vs Leicester
| Probability | Luton | Draw | Leicester |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.9% | 23.3% | 29.8% |
| Market | 42.7% | 24.7% | 32.6% |
| Final | 43.7% | 24.4% | 31.9% |
| Edge | +1.1% | -0.4% | -0.7% |
Why Luton
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.58.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Luton and Leicester expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.59
Luton and Leicester attack and defence ratings
Luton
Leicester
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Luton vs Leicester: result vs prediction
Luton 2 – 1 Leicester
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Wigan
- Reading vs Barnsley — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient
- AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe — match page
- Oxford United vs Bradford — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday
- Blackpool v Mansfield Town — match page
- Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Luton vs Leicester markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Luton | 43.7% | 2.29 | +1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Luton | 43.7% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Leicester | 31.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% |
| No | 30.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Luton win | 27.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 53.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Luton vs Leicester stats
Luton and Leicester recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Luton and Leicester going into this match
Luton record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Leicester record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
Luton vs Leicester head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-09-24 | Luton | Leicester | League Cup | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Luton vs Leicester odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 24.6%, away 32.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.90 | 2.79 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.90 | 2.78 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.93 | 2.90 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.28 | 2.61 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.70 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .