League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 13
Doncaster
vs
Sheffield Wednesday
2 – 0 Full time
| 6′ | Owen Bailey | ||
| 14′ | Ali Al-Hamadi | ||
| 16′ | Owen Bailey | ||
| 45′ | Jaden HeskeyMason Burstow | ||
| 68′ | Will KeaneAlfie May | ||
| 68′ | Isaac HutchinsonBrandon Hanlan | ||
| 68′ | Jamie SterryGeorge Broadbent | ||
| 69′ | Hakeeb AdelakunTommi Dylan O'Reilly | ||
| 73′ | Robbie Gotts | ||
| 80′ | Ali Al-HamadiWilliam Grainger | ||
| 81′ | Leon AyindeBayley McCann | ||
| 86′ | Billy Mitchell | ||
| 88′ | Liam PalmerSean Fusire |
Doncaster
33%
Draw
27%
Sheffield Wednesday
41%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 8 | Saves | 4 |
| 134 | Accurate passes | 362 |
Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday
| Probability | Doncaster | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.1% | 28.6% | 45.3% |
| Market | 34.7% | 26.2% | 39.2% |
| Final | 32.5% | 26.8% | 40.7% |
| Edge | -2.1% | +0.6% | +1.5% |
Why Sheffield Wednesday
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 1.07.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Doncaster and Sheffield Wednesday expected goals
Doncaster
1.07
Sheffield Wednesday
1.47
Total expected goals: 2.54
Doncaster and Sheffield Wednesday attack and defence ratings
Doncaster
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Sheffield Wednesday
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday: result vs prediction
Doncaster 2 – 0 Sheffield Wednesday
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 40.7% | 2.46 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doncaster | 32.5% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 40.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheffield Wednesday win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 10.4% | |
| 0-0 | 9.1% |
Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday stats
Doncaster and Sheffield Wednesday recent form
| Doncaster |
LLWWLL |
| Sheffield Wednesday |
LWDDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Doncaster and Sheffield Wednesday going into this match
Doncaster record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sheffield Wednesday record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
3Doncaster wins
0Draws
2Sheffield Wednesday wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-25 | Doncaster | Sheffield Wednesday | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2022-02-19 | Doncaster | Sheffield Wednesday | League One | 1-3 |
| 2021-08-14 | Sheffield Wednesday | Doncaster | League One | 2-0 |
| 2014-03-22 | Doncaster | Sheffield Wednesday | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2013-09-28 | Sheffield Wednesday | Doncaster | Championship | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.9%, draw 26.1%, away 39.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 3.58 | 2.39 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.37 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.42 |
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 3.58 | 2.39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.74 | 3.75 | 2.46 |
| SBO | 2.50 | 3.13 | 2.22 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.70 ▲ +0.17
X
3.58 ▲ +0.03
2
2.39 ▼ -0.11
9 snapshots recorded, from .