League One Β· Β·Matchday 13

Oxford United vs Bradford

Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw

0 – 0 Predicted score Β· 18% model probability

Kassam Stadium, Oxford

Oxford United 33%
Draw 35%
Bradford 32%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance of a draw
35%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
82%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
37%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 0
18% of simulated outcomes

Oxford United vs Bradford overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Oxford United vs Bradford

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOxford UnitedDrawBradford
Model32.7%35.5%31.8%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final32.7%35.5%31.8%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Oxford United vs Bradford match preview

Oxford United will face Bradford in a closely contested League One match, with probabilities showing Oxford at 33% to win, a draw at 35%, and Bradford at 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-0, with an 18% chance. Both teams have shown varying recent form, with Oxford United recording a draw followed by three wins and a loss, while Bradford has been more consistent, winning their last three matches.

In terms of expected goals, Oxford United is forecasted to score 0.91, while Bradford is slightly lower at 0.90. The model suggests a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance for both teams to score. This matchup presents an intriguing dynamic as both teams seek to capitalize on their recent performances.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Oxford United ↓ / Bradford β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 13% 1 14% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 55%
3+ goals 27%
No goals 18%

Oxford United and Bradford expected goals

Oxford United 0.91
Bradford 0.90

Total expected goals: 1.81

Oxford United and Bradford attack and defence ratings

Oxford United

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Bradford

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.51 -49%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Oxford United vs Bradford markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 35.5% 2.82 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.8% 1.37 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 63.2% 1.58 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 68.2% 1.47 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 67.3% 1.49 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Oxford United32.7%
Draw35.5%
Bradford31.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.2%
Under 2.572.8%
Both teams to scoreYes36.8%
No63.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.2%
12 (either side)64.5%
X2 (draw or away)67.3%
Handicap -1Oxford United win12.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss67.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.7%
1-114.7%
1-013.6%

Oxford United vs Bradford stats

Oxford United and Bradford recent form

newest first
Oxford United DWDWWL
Bradford WDDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Oxford United and Bradford season so far

league record

Oxford United record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bradford record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Oxford United vs Bradford head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Oxford United vs Bradford odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot X Draw Predicted score 0 – 0 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now