Oxford United
vs
Bradford
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 β 0 Predicted score Β· 18% model probability
Oxford United vs Bradford overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oxford United vs Bradford
| Probability | Oxford United | Draw | Bradford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.7% | 35.5% | 31.8% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 32.7% | 35.5% | 31.8% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Oxford United vs Bradford match preview
Oxford United will face Bradford in a closely contested League One match, with probabilities showing Oxford at 33% to win, a draw at 35%, and Bradford at 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-0, with an 18% chance. Both teams have shown varying recent form, with Oxford United recording a draw followed by three wins and a loss, while Bradford has been more consistent, winning their last three matches.
In terms of expected goals, Oxford United is forecasted to score 0.91, while Bradford is slightly lower at 0.90. The model suggests a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance for both teams to score. This matchup presents an intriguing dynamic as both teams seek to capitalize on their recent performances.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oxford United and Bradford expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.81
Oxford United and Bradford attack and defence ratings
Oxford United
Bradford
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Oxford United vs Bradford markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 35.5% | 2.82 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.2% | 1.58 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.2% | 1.47 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.3% | 1.49 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oxford United | 32.7% |
| Draw | 35.5% | |
| Bradford | 31.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.8% |
| No | 63.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oxford United win | 12.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 67.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.7% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-0 | 13.6% |
Oxford United vs Bradford stats
Oxford United and Bradford recent form
| DWDWWL | |
| WDDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oxford United and Bradford season so far
Oxford United record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bradford record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.