Burton Albion
vs
Bradford
0 – 0 Full time
| 44′ | Raphael Borges Rodrigues | ||
| 51′ | Curtis Tilt | ||
| 52′ | Antoni Sarcevic | ||
| 61′ | Gbemi ArubiMatthew Dennis | ||
| 62′ | Bobby PointonStephen Humphrys | ||
| 62′ | Jake BeesleyNick Powell | ||
| 72′ | Caylon VickersWill Collar | ||
| 77′ | Stephen HumphrysKayden Jackson | ||
| 81′ | Toby Sibbick | ||
| 84′ | Antoni SarcevicAdam Phillips | ||
| 87′ | George EvansJason Sraha | ||
| 88′ | Sulyman Krubally | ||
| 90′ | Ibou Touray |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 4 | Corners | 13 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 239 | Accurate passes | 271 |
Burton Albion vs Bradford overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Burton Albion vs Bradford
| Probability | Burton Albion | Draw | Bradford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.4% | 32.7% | 44.8% |
| Market | 21.2% | 26.3% | 52.5% |
| Final | 21.5% | 27.9% | 50.6% |
| Edge | +0.3% | +1.6% | -1.9% |
Why Bradford
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Burton Albion and Bradford expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.97
Burton Albion and Bradford attack and defence ratings
Burton Albion
Bradford
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Burton Albion vs Bradford: result vs prediction
Burton Albion 0 – 0 Bradford
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Burton Albion vs Bradford markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bradford | 50.6% | 1.98 | -1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Burton Albion | 21.5% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Bradford | 50.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.8% |
| No | 61.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bradford win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 55.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.5% |
| 0-0 | 15.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Burton Albion vs Bradford stats
Burton Albion and Bradford recent form
| Burton Albion |
DLLWDL |
| Bradford |
WDDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Burton Albion and Bradford going into this match
Burton Albion record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Bradford record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Burton Albion vs Bradford head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Burton Albion | Bradford | League One | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Bradford | Burton Albion | League One | 1-2 |
| 2022-10-18 | Burton Albion | Bradford | EFL Trophy | 4-0 |
| 2019-01-26 | Burton Albion | Bradford | League One | 1-1 |
| 2018-08-21 | Bradford | Burton Albion | League One | 1-0 |
| 2016-03-08 | Bradford | Burton Albion | League One | 2-0 |
| 2016-02-06 | Burton Albion | Bradford | League One | 3-1 |
| 2013-05-05 | Burton Albion | Bradford | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2013-05-02 | Bradford | Burton Albion | League Two | 2-3 |
| 2013-04-20 | Bradford | Burton Albion | League Two | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Burton Albion vs Bradford odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.2%, draw 26.3%, away 52.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.38 | 3.54 | 1.79 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 3.70 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 3.70 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 4.45 | 3.55 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 4.30 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| Marathonbet | 4.40 | 3.54 | 1.77 |
| Pinnacle | 4.92 | 3.65 | 1.77 |
| SBO | 3.47 | 3.16 | 1.91 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .