League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 12
Stevenage
vs
Plymouth
3 – 0 Full time
| 4′ | Ronan Curtis | ||
| 7′ | Louis Thompson | ||
| 19′ | Michael Mellon | ||
| 27′ | Josh Magennis | ||
| 33′ | Alex Revell | ||
| 45′ | Ronan CurtisXavier Amaechi | ||
| 45′ | Oliver IrowCaleb Watts | ||
| 64′ | Ben BroggioPhoenix Patterson | ||
| 64′ | Michael MellonO. Sanderson | ||
| 74′ | Louis ThompsonTerry·Taylor | ||
| 76′ | Joe EdwardsMatthew Sorinola | ||
| 76′ | Tyreeq BakinsonBradley Ibrahim | ||
| 83′ | Phoenix Patterson | ||
| 87′ | Alex·HartridgeJulio Pleguezuelo |
Stevenage
35%
Draw
28%
Plymouth
36%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 251 | Accurate passes | 266 |
Stevenage vs Plymouth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stevenage vs Plymouth
| Probability | Stevenage | Draw | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.9% | 29.0% | 36.1% |
| Market | 35.6% | 28.0% | 36.3% |
| Final | 35.5% | 28.3% | 36.3% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +0.2% | -0.1% |
Why Plymouth
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
Stevenage and Plymouth expected goals
Stevenage
1.28
Plymouth
1.31
Total expected goals: 2.59
Stevenage and Plymouth attack and defence ratings
Stevenage
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Plymouth
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stevenage vs Plymouth: result vs prediction
Stevenage 3 – 0 Plymouth
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Peterborough
- Burton Albion v Bradford — match page
- AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Wigan
- Doncaster v Stockport County — match page
- Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons — team news & stats
- Luton vs Barnsley
- Cambridge United vs Wycombe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Stevenage vs Plymouth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plymouth | 36.3% | 2.76 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stevenage | 35.5% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Plymouth | 36.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% |
| No | 46.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Plymouth win | 16.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-0 | 8.7% | |
| 0-1 | 8.5% |
Stevenage vs Plymouth stats
Stevenage and Plymouth recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stevenage and Plymouth going into this match
Stevenage record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Plymouth record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stevenage vs Plymouth head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Stevenage wins
1Draws
7Plymouth wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Plymouth | Stevenage | League One | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Stevenage | Plymouth | League One | 1-1 |
| 2020-01-25 | Stevenage | Plymouth | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2019-12-29 | Plymouth | Stevenage | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2018-11-10 | Plymouth | Stevenage | FA Cup | 1-0 |
| 2017-01-14 | Plymouth | Stevenage | League Two | 4-2 |
| 2016-10-08 | Stevenage | Plymouth | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2016-01-16 | Plymouth | Stevenage | League Two | 3-2 |
| 2015-09-05 | Stevenage | Plymouth | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2015-03-03 | Stevenage | Plymouth | League Two | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stevenage vs Plymouth odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.6%, draw 28.0%, away 36.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.57 | 3.32 | 2.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.57 | 3.32 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.72 | 3.45 | 2.62 |
| SBO | 2.54 | 3.07 | 2.43 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.62 ▲ +0.07
X
3.33 ▲ +0.03
2
2.58 —
6 snapshots recorded, from .