League One · Full time ·Matchday 12

Huddersfield vs Peterborough

4 – 1 Full time

3′Ilias Bronkhorst
6′Ilias Bronkhorst
9′Lucca Mendonça
45′Vernon MasaraMatthew Garbett
45′Bolu ShofowokeEthan Williams
47′Liam Kelly
61′Brandon·Singh KhelaHarry Ashfield
61′Harley MillsD. Ormerod
62′Ashley FletcherMarcus Harness
66′Joe Taylor
68′Harry Leonard
70′Owura EdwardsDeclan Firth
70′Joe Taylor
77′Joe Taylor
79′Bali Mumba
81′Derensili Sanches FernandesEthan Brierley
90′Joe TaylorSamson Tovide

John Smith's Stadium, Huddersfield

Huddersfield 62%
Draw 20%
Peterborough 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
44 Possession % 56
2 Corners 2
14 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 2
3 Saves 1
253 Accurate passes 329

Huddersfield vs Peterborough overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Huddersfield vs Peterborough

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHuddersfieldDrawPeterborough
Model62.5%21.5%16.1%
Market62.3%19.9%17.8%
Final62.4%20.3%17.4%
Edge+0.0%+0.4%-0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Huddersfield

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 1.04.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Huddersfield ↓ / Peterborough → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 10% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Huddersfield and Peterborough expected goals

Huddersfield 2.18
Peterborough 1.04

Total expected goals: 3.22

Huddersfield and Peterborough attack and defence ratings

Huddersfield

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Peterborough

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Huddersfield vs Peterborough: result vs prediction

Huddersfield 4 – 1 Peterborough

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Huddersfield vs Peterborough markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Huddersfield 62.4% 1.60 +0.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.5% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.3% 1.72 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.6% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Huddersfield win 40.3% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Huddersfield62.4%
Draw20.3%
Peterborough17.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.5%
Under 2.537.5%
Both teams to scoreYes58.3%
No41.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.6%
12 (either side)79.7%
X2 (draw or away)37.6%
Handicap -1Huddersfield win40.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss37.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.9%
2-19.9%
2-09.5%

Huddersfield vs Peterborough stats

Huddersfield and Peterborough recent form

newest first
Huddersfield WDWLDD
Peterborough DWLLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Huddersfield and Peterborough going into this match

league record before kick-off

Huddersfield record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Peterborough record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
  • 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Huddersfield vs Peterborough head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Huddersfield wins 2Draws 2Peterborough wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31PeterboroughHuddersfieldLeague One2-3
2025-09-06HuddersfieldPeterboroughLeague One3-2
2025-02-22HuddersfieldPeterboroughLeague One0-1
2024-08-10PeterboroughHuddersfieldLeague One0-2
2022-03-04HuddersfieldPeterboroughChampionship3-0
2021-11-02PeterboroughHuddersfieldChampionship1-1
2013-04-06HuddersfieldPeterboroughChampionship2-2
2012-10-23PeterboroughHuddersfieldChampionship3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Huddersfield vs Peterborough odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.3%, draw 19.9%, away 17.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.50 4.70 5.26
Bet365 1.50 4.50 5.25
BetVictor 1.50 4.75 5.25
Betano 1.53 4.55 5.00
Betfair 1.47 4.75 5.50
Dafabet 1.54 4.80 5.20
Marathonbet 1.49 4.70 5.25
Pinnacle 1.51 5.11 5.32
SBO 1.46 4.18 4.94
William Hill 1.50 4.50 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▼ -0.02
X 4.70 ▲ +0.20
2 5.25 ▲ +0.05

11 snapshots recorded, from .