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League One · Full time ·Matchday 12

Doncaster vs Stockport County

0 – 2 Full time

21′Owen Bailey
34′Grant McCann
49′Jack Diamond
53′Mamadou Jobe
59′Kyle Wootton
60′Lewis BateLewis Fiorini
60′Ben OsbornJosh Cogley
62′Brandon HanlanWill Keane
67′jay mcgrathHakeeb Adelakun
67′Alfie MayIsaac Hutchinson
70′Kyle WoottonMikael Mandron
70′Ryan GloverEthan Ennis
76′George BroadbentDarren Robinson
76′Leon AyindeHarry Clifton
80′Jack DiamondAdama Sidibeh
90′Darren Robinson

Keepmoat Stadium, Doncaster

Doncaster 23%
Draw 24%
Stockport County 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 5
33 Possession % 67
2 Corners 6
9 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 2
3 Saves 1
241 Accurate passes 605

Doncaster vs Stockport County overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Doncaster vs Stockport County

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDoncasterDrawStockport County
Model27.5%28.0%44.5%
Market22.2%23.1%54.7%
Final23.5%24.3%52.2%
Edge+1.3%+1.2%-2.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Stockport County

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.14.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Doncaster ↓ / Stockport Coun → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Doncaster and Stockport County expected goals

Doncaster 1.14
Stockport County 1.51

Total expected goals: 2.66

Doncaster and Stockport County attack and defence ratings

Doncaster

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Stockport County

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Doncaster vs Stockport County: result vs prediction

Doncaster 0 – 2 Stockport County

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Doncaster vs Stockport County markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stockport County 52.2% 1.92 -2.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.4% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.5% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Doncaster23.5%
Draw24.3%
Stockport County52.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.6%
Under 2.550.4%
Both teams to scoreYes54.4%
No45.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.8%
12 (either side)75.7%
X2 (draw or away)76.5%
Handicap -1Stockport County win22.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss55.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
0-19.4%
1-29.2%

Doncaster vs Stockport County stats

Doncaster and Stockport County recent form

newest first
Doncaster LWWLLD
Stockport County WWWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Doncaster and Stockport County going into this match

league record before kick-off

Doncaster record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stockport County record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.

Doncaster vs Stockport County head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Doncaster wins 2Draws 5Stockport County wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08Stockport CountyDoncasterLeague Cup1-1
2026-03-03DoncasterStockport CountyEFL Trophy0-1
2025-12-29Stockport CountyDoncasterLeague One4-2
2025-12-09DoncasterStockport CountyLeague One0-2
2024-01-27DoncasterStockport CountyLeague Two1-5
2023-10-07Stockport CountyDoncasterLeague Two1-0
2023-03-04Stockport CountyDoncasterLeague Two0-0
2022-08-16DoncasterStockport CountyLeague Two2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Doncaster vs Stockport County odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 22.2%, draw 23.1%, away 54.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.16 4.15 1.70
Bet365 4.10 4.10 1.70
BetVictor 4.50 4.00 1.70
Betano 4.20 4.05 1.72
Betfair 4.50 4.00 1.70
Dafabet 4.30 3.95 1.77
Marathonbet 4.20 4.15 1.68
Pinnacle 4.50 4.32 1.70
SBO 3.91 3.41 1.73
William Hill 4.00 3.90 1.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.20 ▲ +0.95
X 4.03 ▲ +0.38
2 1.70 ▼ -0.34

11 snapshots recorded, from .