League One · Full time ·Matchday 11

Leicester vs Doncaster

2 – 1 Full time

17′Luke Thomas
45′John Lundstram
57′Alfie May
58′Isaac HutchinsonBrandon Hanlan
59′jay mcgrath
61′K. Doyle
65′Leon Ayinde
69′Leon AyindeHakeeb Adelakun
69′T. NixonBayley McCann
69′George BroadbentWill Keane
71′Samuel Charles BraybrookeConor Chaplin
79′K. DoyleLiam Cullen
84′Warren O'Hora
85′Sean GrehanHarry Clifton
89′William Thomas-AlvesOlabade Aluko

King Power Stadium, Leicester

Leicester 46%
Draw 25%
Doncaster 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 3
54 Possession % 46
6 Corners 7
12 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
3 Saves 5
340 Accurate passes 266

Leicester vs Doncaster overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Leicester vs Doncaster

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLeicesterDrawDoncaster
Model32.4%28.9%38.6%
Market50.7%24.1%25.2%
Final46.1%25.3%28.6%
Edge-18.2%+4.8%+13.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Leicester ↓ / Doncaster → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 7% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Leicester and Doncaster expected goals

Leicester 1.23
Doncaster 1.36

Total expected goals: 2.59

Leicester and Doncaster attack and defence ratings

Leicester

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Doncaster

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Leicester vs Doncaster: result vs prediction

Leicester 2 – 1 Doncaster

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Leicester vs Doncaster markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Leicester 46.1% 2.17 -18.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.1% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.8% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.5% 1.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Leicester46.1%
Draw25.3%
Doncaster28.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.9%
Under 2.552.1%
Both teams to scoreYes53.8%
No46.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.4%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)53.9%
Handicap -1Leicester win14.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss67.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
0-19.0%
0-08.8%

Leicester vs Doncaster stats

Leicester and Doncaster recent form

newest first
Leicester LDWLWD
Doncaster WWLLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Leicester and Doncaster going into this match

league record before kick-off

Leicester record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Doncaster record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Leicester vs Doncaster head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Leicester wins 0Draws 2Doncaster wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2014-05-03LeicesterDoncasterChampionship1-0
2013-10-05DoncasterLeicesterChampionship1-0
2012-04-07LeicesterDoncasterChampionship4-0
2011-12-17DoncasterLeicesterChampionship2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Leicester vs Doncaster odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.9%, draw 24.0%, away 25.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.84 3.88 3.72
Bet365 1.83 3.80 3.75
BetVictor 1.87 3.90 3.70
Betano 1.83 3.90 3.70
Betfair 1.80 4.00 3.80
Dafabet 1.86 4.00 3.80
Marathonbet 1.82 3.88 3.74
Pinnacle 1.91 4.10 3.67
SBO 1.81 3.30 3.20
William Hill 1.85 3.75 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▲ +0.01
X 3.88 —
2 3.71 ▼ -0.01

13 snapshots recorded, from .