League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 11
Mansfield Town
vs
Oxford United
1 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh | ||
| 22′ | Peter Kioso | ||
| 34′ | Luka Lynch | ||
| 45′ | George AbbottStephen McLaughlin | ||
| 54′ | Jonathan Russell | ||
| 59′ | Luka LynchMo Missanga | ||
| 59′ | Louie SibleyGatlin O Donkor | ||
| 61′ | Nathan Daniel Moriah-WelshTyler Roberts | ||
| 72′ | Gatlin O Donkor | ||
| 73′ | Ryan SweeneyFrazer Blake-Tracy | ||
| 73′ | Jonathan RussellRegan·Hendry | ||
| 75′ | Peter Kioso | ||
| 77′ | Mark HarrisJack Currie | ||
| 79′ | Elliott HewittGeorge Maris | ||
| 80′ | Siriki DembeleSam Long | ||
| 82′ | Michael Smith | ||
| 84′ | Gatlin O Donkor |
Mansfield Town
39%
Draw
26%
Oxford United
35%
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 261 | Accurate passes | 279 |
Mansfield Town vs Oxford United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mansfield Town vs Oxford United
| Probability | Mansfield Town | Draw | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.8% | 25.2% | 43.1% |
| Market | 41.4% | 26.6% | 32.0% |
| Final | 39.0% | 26.2% | 34.8% |
| Edge | -2.4% | -0.3% | +2.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Mansfield Town and Oxford United expected goals
Mansfield Town
1.48
Oxford United
1.75
Total expected goals: 3.23
Mansfield Town and Oxford United attack and defence ratings
Mansfield Town
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Oxford United
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mansfield Town vs Oxford United: result vs prediction
Mansfield Town 1 – 1 Oxford United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Milton Keynes Dons v Luton — match page
- Peterborough vs Burton Albion — team news & stats
- Leicester vs Doncaster
- Wigan v Reading — match page
- Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon — team news & stats
- Barnsley vs Cambridge United
- Bradford v Stevenage — match page
- Plymouth vs Huddersfield — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Mansfield Town vs Oxford United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mansfield Town | 39.0% | 2.56 | -2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mansfield Town | 39.0% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Oxford United | 34.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.8% |
| No | 35.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mansfield Town win | 15.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 68.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Mansfield Town vs Oxford United stats
Mansfield Town and Oxford United recent form
| Mansfield Town |
WDDLLW |
| Oxford United |
WDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mansfield Town and Oxford United going into this match
Mansfield Town record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oxford United record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mansfield Town vs Oxford United head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
2Mansfield Town wins
2Draws
3Oxford United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-27 | Mansfield Town | Oxford United | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2016-02-09 | Oxford United | Mansfield Town | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2015-08-22 | Mansfield Town | Oxford United | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2015-02-21 | Oxford United | Mansfield Town | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2014-08-16 | Mansfield Town | Oxford United | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2014-02-15 | Oxford United | Mansfield Town | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2013-11-16 | Mansfield Town | Oxford United | League Two | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mansfield Town vs Oxford United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 26.6%, away 32.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 3.52 | 2.93 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.60 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 3.52 | 2.92 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 3.63 | 3.01 |
| SBO | 2.24 | 3.19 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.25 ▼ -0.21
X
3.51 ▲ +0.21
2
2.91 ▲ +0.36
13 snapshots recorded, from .