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League One · Full time ·Matchday 10

Mansfield Town vs Bromley

2 – 1 Full time

13′Markus Ifill
22′Stephen McLaughlin
30′John Joshua Mckiernan
32′John Joshua Mckiernan
49′Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh
51′Liam Thompson
58′Liam ThompsonRegan·Hendry
60′Louis Reed
63′corey whitelyJodi Jones
64′Stephen McLaughlinFrazer Blake-Tracy
73′Victor AdeboyejoNicke Kabamba
73′Kamil Amadu ContehWilliam Hondermarck
73′John Joshua MckiernanMichael Cheek
74′Mitchell PinnockMikel Miller
74′Frazer Blake-Tracy
75′Rhys OatesTyler Roberts
75′Louis ReedGeorge Abbott
89′Adedeji OshilajaKyle Knoyle
90′Nicke Kabamba
90′George Saville

Field Mill, MansfieldReferee: Simon Mather

Mansfield Town 54%
Draw 24%
Bromley 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
58 Possession % 42
7 Corners 1
14 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 3
2 Saves 3
262 Accurate passes 163

Mansfield Town vs Bromley overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mansfield Town vs Bromley

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMansfield TownDrawBromley
Model57.4%21.3%21.3%
Market52.8%24.7%22.4%
Final54.0%23.9%22.1%
Edge+1.1%-0.9%-0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Mansfield Town

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.37.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mansfield Town ↓ / Bromley → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 9% 6% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 5% 4+ 5% 7% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Mansfield Town and Bromley expected goals

Mansfield Town 2.29
Bromley 1.37

Total expected goals: 3.66

Mansfield Town and Bromley attack and defence ratings

Mansfield Town

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Bromley

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.44 +44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mansfield Town vs Bromley: result vs prediction

Mansfield Town 2 – 1 Bromley

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Mansfield Town vs Bromley markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mansfield Town 54.0% 1.85 +1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.8% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.9% 1.47 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.9% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.6% 2.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mansfield Town54.0%
Draw23.9%
Bromley22.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.8%
Under 2.529.2%
Both teams to scoreYes67.9%
No32.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.9%
12 (either side)76.1%
X2 (draw or away)46.0%
Handicap -1Mansfield Town win36.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss42.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.2%
1-18.9%
3-17.1%

Mansfield Town vs Bromley stats

Mansfield Town and Bromley recent form

newest first
Mansfield Town DDLLWL
Bromley WDLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mansfield Town and Bromley going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mansfield Town record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bromley record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mansfield Town vs Bromley head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Mansfield Town vs Bromley odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 24.7%, away 22.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.77 3.76 4.18
Bet365 1.80 3.60 4.33
BetVictor 1.75 3.80 4.20
Betano 1.78 3.75 4.10
Betfair 1.75 3.90 4.20
Dafabet 1.83 3.85 4.10
Marathonbet 1.75 3.76 4.20
Pinnacle 1.83 3.94 4.12
SBO 1.69 3.47 3.72
William Hill 1.75 3.60 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.76 ▼ -0.04
X 3.76 ▲ +0.12
2 4.15 ▲ +0.12

27 snapshots recorded, from .