Mansfield Town
vs
Bromley
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mansfield Town
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Mansfield Town vs Bromley overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mansfield Town vs Bromley
| Probability | Mansfield Town | Draw | Bromley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.4% | 21.3% | 21.3% |
| Market | 53.1% | 24.7% | 22.2% |
| Final | 54.2% | 23.9% | 22.0% |
| Edge | +4.3% | -3.4% | -0.8% |
Why Mansfield Town
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.37.
- The market prices Mansfield Town below the model: +4.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.82, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Mansfield Town vs Bromley match preview
Mansfield Town enters this match with a probability of 55% to win against Bromley, who has a 21% chance of securing victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Mansfield Town, with a 9% likelihood. The expectation for over 2.5 goals is high at 71%, and both teams to score stands at 68%.
In terms of recent form, Mansfield Town has recorded a draw, followed by two losses, a win, and another loss, while Bromley has a mixed record with one win, two losses, and two draws in their last six matches. Expected goals suggest Mansfield Town will score 2.29 and Bromley 1.37, indicating a potentially competitive fixture.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mansfield Town and Bromley expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.66
Mansfield Town and Bromley attack and defence ratings
Mansfield Town
Bromley
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mansfield Town vs Bromley markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mansfield Town | 54.2% | 1.85 | +4.3% | 1.82 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mansfield Town | 54.2% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Bromley | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.9% |
| No | 32.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mansfield Town win | 36.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 42.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.2% |
| 1-1 | 8.9% | |
| 3-1 | 7.1% |
Mansfield Town vs Bromley stats
Mansfield Town and Bromley recent form
| Mansfield Town |
DDLLWL |
| Bromley |
WDLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mansfield Town and Bromley season so far
Mansfield Town record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bromley record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mansfield Town vs Bromley head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Mansfield Town vs Bromley odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.1%, draw 24.7%, away 22.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 3.76 | 4.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.75 | 4.10 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.76 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82 | 3.82 | 4.03 |
| SBO | 1.67 | 3.43 | 3.61 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .