League One Β· Β·Matchday 10

Bradford vs Leyton Orient

Garuda Lions Prediction: Bradford

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 16% model probability

Valley Parade, Bradford

Bradford 54%
Draw 27%
Leyton Orient 19%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Bradford wins
54%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
86%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
38%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
16% of simulated outcomes

Bradford vs Leyton Orient overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bradford vs Leyton Orient

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBradfordDrawLeyton Orient
Model51.2%30.8%17.9%
Market54.8%25.3%19.9%
Final53.9%26.7%19.4%
Edge-3.6%+5.6%-1.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Bradford

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.69.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.74, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Bradford vs Leyton Orient match preview

Bradford will host Leyton Orient in a League One clash on October 10, 2026. The probabilities suggest a strong edge for Bradford, with a 53% chance of winning compared to Leyton Orient's 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Bradford, occurring at a rate of 16%. Expected goals indicate Bradford at 1.34 and Leyton Orient at 0.69, highlighting a potential struggle for the visitors to find the net.

In terms of recent form, Bradford has recorded a mixed bag with one draw and four wins in their last six matches, while Leyton Orient has experienced two wins and four losses in their last six outings. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows a competitive balance, with Bradford winning three times, Leyton Orient four times, and three matches ending in draws.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bradford ↓ / Leyton Orient β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 1 16% 13% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 14%

Bradford and Leyton Orient expected goals

Bradford 1.34
Leyton Orient 0.69

Total expected goals: 2.03

Bradford and Leyton Orient attack and defence ratings

Bradford

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.61 -39%

Leyton Orient

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Bradford vs Leyton Orient markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bradford 53.9% 1.85 -3.6% 1.74
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.9% 1.49 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 62.1% 1.61 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.6% 1.24 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 48.8% 2.05 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bradford53.9%
Draw26.7%
Leyton Orient19.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.1%
Under 2.566.9%
Both teams to scoreYes37.9%
No62.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.6%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)46.1%
Handicap -1Bradford win25.3%
Push (exactly one goal)25.9%
Loss48.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.4%
0-014.4%
1-113.3%

Bradford vs Leyton Orient stats

Bradford and Leyton Orient recent form

newest first
Bradford DWWWWL
Leyton Orient LWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bradford and Leyton Orient season so far

league record

Bradford record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Leyton Orient record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Bradford vs Leyton Orient head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Bradford wins 3Draws 4Leyton Orient wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-08Leyton OrientBradfordLeague Cup1-3
2026-03-07BradfordLeyton OrientLeague One2-1
2025-12-20Leyton OrientBradfordLeague One2-1
2023-05-08BradfordLeyton OrientLeague Two1-1
2022-12-03Leyton OrientBradfordLeague Two3-0
2022-02-01BradfordLeyton OrientLeague Two1-1
2021-08-28Leyton OrientBradfordLeague Two2-0
2021-02-23BradfordLeyton OrientLeague Two1-0
2020-11-24Leyton OrientBradfordLeague Two1-0
2019-12-14Leyton OrientBradfordLeague Two0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bradford vs Leyton Orient odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.8%, draw 25.3%, away 19.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.71 3.70 4.66
Bet365 1.73 3.70 4.50
BetVictor 1.70 3.75 4.75
Betano 1.72 3.60 4.70
Betfair 1.67 4.00 4.75
Dafabet 1.74 3.80 4.70
Marathonbet 1.69 3.70 4.70
Pinnacle 1.69 3.83 4.80
SBO 1.62 3.26 4.05
William Hill 1.73 3.50 4.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.71 β–Ό -0.05
X 3.70 β–² +0.14
2 4.70 β–² +0.26

26 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Bradford Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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