League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Leicester
vs
Peterborough
1 – 3 Full time
| 12′ | Owura Edwards | ||
| 36′ | Harry Leonard | ||
| 44′ | Warren O'Hora | ||
| 45′ | Liam CullenWes Burns | ||
| 45′ | Warren O'HoraIlari Kangasniemi | ||
| 45′ | Olabade AlukoK. Doyle | ||
| 59′ | Ethan WilliamsMatthew Garbett | ||
| 65′ | Bobby ReidSamuel Charles Braybrooke | ||
| 67′ | Harry AshfieldB. Woods | ||
| 67′ | Bolu ShofowokeVernon Masara | ||
| 68′ | Emil Riis Jakobsen | ||
| 78′ | Liam KellyBrandon·Singh Khela | ||
| 78′ | Harry LeonardD. Ormerod | ||
| 78′ | Caleb OkoliHarry Howell | ||
| 85′ | Matthew Garbett |
Leicester
58%
Draw
22%
Peterborough
20%
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 70 | Possession % | 30 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 531 | Accurate passes | 156 |
Leicester vs Peterborough overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leicester vs Peterborough
| Probability | Leicester | Draw | Peterborough |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.9% | 27.0% | 24.1% |
| Market | 60.5% | 20.6% | 18.9% |
| Final | 57.6% | 22.2% | 20.2% |
| Edge | -2.9% | +1.6% | +1.3% |
Why Leicester
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Leicester and Peterborough expected goals
Leicester
1.63
Peterborough
1.08
Total expected goals: 2.71
Leicester and Peterborough attack and defence ratings
Leicester
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Peterborough
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.17 +17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Leicester vs Peterborough: result vs prediction
Leicester 1 – 3 Peterborough
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
- Notts County v Oxford United — match page
- Huddersfield vs Sheffield Wednesday — team news & stats
- Bradford v Leyton Orient — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Burton Albion
- Wycombe v Luton — match page
- Stevenage vs Wigan — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Leicester vs Peterborough markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leicester | 57.6% | 1.74 | -2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leicester | 57.6% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Peterborough | 20.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% |
| No | 45.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leicester win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 51.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | |
| 2-1 | 9.5% |
Leicester vs Peterborough stats
Leicester and Peterborough recent form
| Leicester |
DWLWDL |
| Peterborough |
LLDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leicester and Peterborough going into this match
Leicester record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Peterborough record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Leicester vs Peterborough head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
2Leicester wins
1Draws
2Peterborough wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-01-27 | Peterborough | Leicester | FA Cup | 1-5 |
| 2013-02-09 | Peterborough | Leicester | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2012-08-18 | Leicester | Peterborough | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2012-03-31 | Peterborough | Leicester | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2011-12-10 | Leicester | Peterborough | Championship | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Leicester vs Peterborough odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.5%, draw 20.6%, away 18.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.55 | 4.87 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 4.70 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.55 | 4.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 4.88 | 5.08 |
| SBO | 1.50 | 4.06 | 4.31 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 4.40 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.55 ▼ -0.05
X
4.55 ▲ +0.33
2
4.97 ▲ +0.22
27 snapshots recorded, from .