Leicester
vs
Peterborough
Garuda Lions Prediction: Leicester
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Leicester vs Peterborough overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leicester vs Peterborough
| Probability | Leicester | Draw | Peterborough |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.9% | 27.0% | 24.1% |
| Market | 59.0% | 21.4% | 19.6% |
| Final | 56.4% | 22.8% | 20.7% |
| Edge | -10.0% | +5.6% | +4.4% |
Why Leicester
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Leicester vs Peterborough match preview
Leicester faces Peterborough in an upcoming League One match, with Leicester holding a 57% probability of winning compared to Peterborough's 20%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Leicester, with a 10% likelihood. The expected goals indicate Leicester at 1.63 and Peterborough at 1.08, suggesting a tighter contest than the probabilities imply.
Recent form shows Leicester with mixed results, recording two draws, a win, and two losses in their last six matches. In contrast, Peterborough has struggled, with four losses and two draws in their recent outings. With a confidence grade of C, the match could see a competitive dynamic, as both teams look to improve their standings.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leicester and Peterborough expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Leicester and Peterborough attack and defence ratings
Leicester
Peterborough
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Sheffield Wednesday — team news & stats
- Bradford v Leyton Orient — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Burton Albion
- Wycombe v Luton — match page
- Stevenage vs Wigan — team news & stats
- Cambridge United vs Blackpool
- Mansfield Town v Bromley — match page
Before and after this match
Leicester vs Peterborough markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leicester | 56.4% | 1.77 | -10.0% | 1.62 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leicester | 56.4% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Peterborough | 20.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% |
| No | 45.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leicester win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 51.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | |
| 2-1 | 9.5% |
Leicester vs Peterborough stats
Leicester and Peterborough recent form
| Leicester |
DWLWDL |
| Peterborough |
LLDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leicester and Peterborough season so far
Leicester record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Peterborough record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Leicester vs Peterborough head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-01-27 | Peterborough | Leicester | FA Cup | 1-5 |
| 2013-02-09 | Peterborough | Leicester | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2012-08-18 | Leicester | Peterborough | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2012-03-31 | Peterborough | Leicester | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2011-12-10 | Leicester | Peterborough | Championship | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Leicester vs Peterborough odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.0%, draw 21.4%, away 19.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 4.35 | 4.74 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.50 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.25 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.62 | 4.50 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 4.35 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.49 | 4.69 |
| SBO | 1.52 | 3.80 | 4.08 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .