Garuda Lions
Today
League One · Full time ·Matchday 8

Stockport County vs Peterborough

1 – 0 Full time

46′Carl Johnston
51′Kyle Wootton
54′Harry WoodJason Adigun
62′Owura EdwardsD. Ormerod
66′Lewis BateLewis Fiorini
66′Jack DiamondEthan Ennis
69′Harry AshfieldHarrison Jones
79′B. WoodsChris Conn-Clarke
79′Bolu ShofowokeEthan Williams
82′Ryan GloverJosh Cogley
83′Ben OsbornMamadou Jobe
87′Lucca Mendonça
89′Harley Mills
90′Jason Adigun

Edgeley Park, StockportReferee: R. Martin

Stockport County 70%
Draw 18%
Peterborough 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
54 Possession % 46
6 Corners 4
8 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 4
4 Saves 4
487 Accurate passes 394

Stockport County vs Peterborough overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stockport County vs Peterborough

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStockport CountyDrawPeterborough
Model66.8%18.9%14.3%
Market70.7%17.4%11.9%
Final69.7%17.8%12.5%
Edge-3.9%+1.5%+2.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Stockport County

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 1.11.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stockport Coun ↓ / Peterborough → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 8% 2 9% 9% 5% 3 7% 8% 4+ 8% 9% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Stockport County and Peterborough expected goals

Stockport County 2.49
Peterborough 1.11

Total expected goals: 3.59

Stockport County and Peterborough attack and defence ratings

Stockport County

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Peterborough

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stockport County vs Peterborough: result vs prediction

Stockport County 1 – 0 Peterborough

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Stockport County vs Peterborough markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stockport County 69.7% 1.43 -3.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.6% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.1% 1.61 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.5% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Stockport County win 45.8% 2.18 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stockport County69.7%
Draw17.8%
Peterborough12.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.6%
Under 2.530.4%
Both teams to scoreYes62.1%
No37.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.5%
12 (either side)82.2%
X2 (draw or away)30.3%
Handicap -1Stockport County win45.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss33.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.4%
2-08.5%
1-18.3%

Stockport County vs Peterborough stats

Stockport County and Peterborough recent form

newest first
Stockport County DLWLWL
Peterborough LDDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stockport County and Peterborough going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stockport County record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.

Peterborough record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stockport County vs Peterborough head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Stockport County wins 1Draws 1Peterborough wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25Stockport CountyPeterboroughLeague One3-1
2025-11-20PeterboroughStockport CountyLeague One3-0
2025-04-18PeterboroughStockport CountyLeague One1-1
2024-12-20Stockport CountyPeterboroughLeague One2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stockport County vs Peterborough odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 70.6%, draw 17.4%, away 12.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.32 5.40 7.85
Bet365 1.33 5.00 7.50
BetVictor 1.30 5.75 8.00
Betano 1.34 5.20 7.60
Betfair 1.33 5.50 8.00
Marathonbet 1.31 5.40 7.90
Pinnacle 1.34 5.76 8.11
SBO 1.32 4.42 5.61
William Hill 1.36 4.80 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.33 ▼ -0.03
X 5.40 ▲ +0.15
2 7.90 ▲ +0.96

13 snapshots recorded, from .