League One · Full time ·Matchday 8

Leicester vs Wigan

3 – 0 Full time

4′Reggie Walsh
6′Will Smallbone
9′Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen
17′Emil Riis Jakobsen
28′K'Marni Miller
32′Jeremiah Chilokoa-MullenMorgan Fox
40′Caleb Okoli
45′Luke Thomas
48′Warren O'Hora
58′Dara James Morgan CostelloeChris Sze
60′Conor ChaplinLiam Cullen
61′Will SmallboneSamuel Charles Braybrooke
61′Finley Burns
67′Emil Riis Jakobsen
68′Scott HoganChristian Saydee
68′K'Marni MillerJon Mellish
69′Finley BurnsA. Higgins
76′William Thomas-AlvesWes Burns
84′Emil Riis JakobsenBobby Reid
84′Louis PageIlari Kangasniemi
90′Bobby Reid

King Power Stadium, Leicester

Leicester 65%
Draw 21%
Wigan 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
64 Possession % 36
7 Corners 3
20 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2
2 Saves 2
583 Accurate passes 299

Leicester vs Wigan overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Leicester vs Wigan

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLeicesterDrawWigan
Model58.9%25.4%15.7%
Market67.5%19.0%13.5%
Final65.3%20.6%14.0%
Edge-2.1%+1.6%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Leicester

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.80.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Leicester ↓ / Wigan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 12% 2 12% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Leicester and Wigan expected goals

Leicester 1.75
Wigan 0.80

Total expected goals: 2.55

Leicester and Wigan attack and defence ratings

Leicester

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Wigan

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Leicester vs Wigan: result vs prediction

Leicester 3 – 0 Wigan

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Leicester vs Wigan markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Leicester 65.3% 1.53 -2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.2% 1.88 — —
Both teams to score No 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.0% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.1% 2.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Leicester65.3%
Draw20.6%
Wigan14.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.8%
Under 2.553.2%
Both teams to scoreYes46.5%
No53.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.0%
12 (either side)79.4%
X2 (draw or away)34.7%
Handicap -1Leicester win34.2%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss41.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-012.6%
1-112.0%
2-012.0%

Leicester vs Wigan stats

Leicester and Wigan recent form

newest first
Leicester LWWLDW
Wigan LLWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Leicester and Wigan going into this match

league record before kick-off

Leicester record

  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wigan record

  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.

Leicester vs Wigan head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Leicester wins 1Draws 0Wigan wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-01-04LeicesterWiganFA Cup2-0
2014-04-01WiganLeicesterChampionship2-2
2013-09-14LeicesterWiganChampionship2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Leicester vs Wigan odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.5%, draw 19.0%, away 13.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.39 4.90 6.80
Bet365 1.38 4.75 7.50
BetVictor 1.36 5.00 7.50
Betano 1.42 4.80 6.50
Betfair 1.36 5.00 7.50
Dafabet 1.40 5.20 7.00
Marathonbet 1.38 4.90 6.80
Pinnacle 1.41 5.12 7.22
SBO 1.34 4.40 5.90
William Hill 1.36 4.60 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.38 ▼ -0.21
X 4.90 ▲ +0.95
2 6.90 ▲ +2.08

13 snapshots recorded, from .