Wigan
vs
Bromley
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wigan
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.90.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Wigan vs Bromley overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wigan vs Bromley
| Probability | Wigan | Draw | Bromley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.7% | 30.9% | 24.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.7% | 30.9% | 24.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Wigan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.90.
Wigan vs Bromley match preview
Wigan enters this match with a 45% probability of victory against Bromley, who have a 24% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Wigan, with a 13% likelihood. Wigan's expected goals are 1.31, compared to Bromley's 0.90, indicating a stronger offensive performance anticipated from the home side.
In terms of recent form, Wigan has struggled, recording two losses followed by a win, then two more losses, and a draw. Conversely, Bromley has also had a challenging run, with a recent draw followed by three losses and a win. The probability of both teams scoring is estimated at 45%, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 38%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wigan and Bromley expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.21
Wigan and Bromley attack and defence ratings
Wigan
Bromley
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wigan vs Bromley markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wigan | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wigan | 44.7% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| Bromley | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.6% |
| No | 55.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wigan win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 13.1% | |
| 0-0 | 12.3% |
Wigan vs Bromley stats
Wigan and Bromley recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wigan and Bromley season so far
Wigan record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
Bromley record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.