League One · Full time ·Matchday 14

Wigan vs Bromley

3 – 2 Full time

6′Kamari Antonio Grant
18′Christian Saydee
23′K'Marni Miller
32′Adam JacksonOmar Sowunmi
45′George Saville
56′Reggie Walsh
58′Bradley Burrowes
64′Christian SaydeeScott Hogan
64′Reggie WalshDara James Morgan Costelloe
65′corey whitely
68′Mikel MillerRichard Taylor
73′Jodi JonesEthon Archer
74′corey whitelyJohn Joshua Mckiernan
74′Michael CheekVictor Adeboyejo
76′John Joshua Mckiernan
77′Max PowerJon Mellish
80′William Hondermarck
82′Connor Barrett
83′Markus Ifill
90′K'Marni MillerMorgan Fox
90′George Saville

DW Stadium, Wigan

Wigan 49%
Draw 27%
Bromley 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 17
8 Shots on target 4
61 Possession % 39
4 Corners 5
12 Fouls 16
2 Saves 5
363 Accurate passes 189

Wigan vs Bromley overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wigan vs Bromley

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWiganDrawBromley
Model43.2%29.6%27.2%
Market50.7%25.6%23.7%
Final48.8%26.6%24.6%
Edge-1.9%+1.0%+0.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Wigan

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 1.04.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wigan ↓ / Bromley → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Wigan and Bromley expected goals

Wigan 1.38
Bromley 1.04

Total expected goals: 2.42

Wigan and Bromley attack and defence ratings

Wigan

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Bromley

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.60 +60%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wigan vs Bromley: result vs prediction

Wigan 3 – 2 Bromley

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Wigan vs Bromley markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wigan 48.8% 2.05 -1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.5% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score No 50.3% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.8% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wigan48.8%
Draw26.6%
Bromley24.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.5%
Under 2.556.5%
Both teams to scoreYes49.7%
No50.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.4%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)51.2%
Handicap -1Wigan win21.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss56.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-011.0%
0-010.2%

Wigan vs Bromley stats

Wigan and Bromley recent form

newest first
Wigan LLLWLL
Bromley LDLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wigan and Bromley going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wigan record

  • They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 12 matches.

Bromley record

  • They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wigan vs Bromley head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Wigan vs Bromley odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 25.6%, away 23.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.85 3.66 3.90
Bet365 1.85 3.60 4.00
BetVictor 1.83 3.70 4.00
Betano 1.91 3.50 3.85
Betfair 1.85 3.75 4.00
Dafabet 1.90 3.65 4.00
Marathonbet 1.83 3.66 3.92
Pinnacle 1.85 3.78 4.30
SBO 1.82 3.10 3.39
William Hill 1.85 3.50 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 —
X 3.66 ▲ +0.06
2 3.96 ▲ +0.16

11 snapshots recorded, from .