League One · Full time ·Matchday 14

Plymouth vs Reading

0 – 0 Full time

25′Will Evans
63′Randell WilliamsDaniel·Kyerewaa
63′Jamie ReidJack Marriott
80′Xavier AmaechiOliver Irow
80′Tyreeq BakinsonMalachi Boateng
83′Julio PleguezueloMathias Ross Jensen
85′Josh StokesJacob Brown
85′Josh KnightHaydon Roberts
90′Jeriel Dorsett
90′Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
90′Andy Rinomhota

Home Park, Plymouth

Plymouth 38%
Draw 25%
Reading 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
44 Possession % 56
3 Corners 7
14 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 2
4 Saves 4
154 Accurate passes 230

Plymouth vs Reading overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Plymouth vs Reading

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPlymouthDrawReading
Model29.1%25.1%45.8%
Market40.6%25.4%34.0%
Final37.7%25.3%36.9%
Edge-2.9%-0.1%+3.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Plymouth ↓ / Reading → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 11% 9% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Plymouth and Reading expected goals

Plymouth 1.40
Reading 1.79

Total expected goals: 3.19

Plymouth and Reading attack and defence ratings

Plymouth

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Reading

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Plymouth vs Reading: result vs prediction

Plymouth 0 – 0 Reading

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Plymouth vs Reading markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Plymouth 37.7% 2.65 -2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.8% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.9% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Plymouth37.7%
Draw25.3%
Reading36.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.8%
Under 2.538.2%
Both teams to scoreYes63.8%
No36.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.1%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)62.3%
Handicap -1Plymouth win13.5%
Push (exactly one goal)15.7%
Loss70.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
1-29.2%
2-17.2%

Plymouth vs Reading stats

Plymouth and Reading recent form

newest first
Plymouth WLLWWL
Reading WWLWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Plymouth and Reading going into this match

league record before kick-off

Plymouth record

  • They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Reading record

  • They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Plymouth vs Reading head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Plymouth wins 1Draws 3Reading wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14ReadingPlymouthLeague One2-2
2025-12-26PlymouthReadingLeague One1-4
2019-08-27PlymouthReadingLeague Cup2-4
2016-08-09ReadingPlymouthLeague Cup2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Plymouth vs Reading odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 25.4%, away 34.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.27 3.72 2.77
Bet365 2.40 3.50 2.75
BetVictor 2.30 3.75 2.75
Betano 2.37 3.55 2.70
Betfair 2.30 3.75 2.75
Dafabet 2.41 3.70 2.75
Marathonbet 2.25 3.72 2.76
Pinnacle 2.43 3.65 2.85
SBO 2.21 3.25 2.44
William Hill 2.30 3.50 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.10
X 3.67 ▼ -0.03
2 2.75 ▼ -0.13

11 snapshots recorded, from .