Plymouth
vs
Alvechurch
4 – 0 Full time
| 31′ | Joe EdwardsAlex·Hartridge | ||
| 45′ | Sam Perry | ||
| 50′ | Will Evans | ||
| 54′ | Alex·Hartridge | ||
| 57′ | Jamey OsborneJohan Rask | ||
| 61′ | Oliver IrowRonan Curtis | ||
| 61′ | Xavier AmaechiMichael Baidoo | ||
| 61′ | Malachi BoatengTyreeq Bakinson | ||
| 65′ | Kieran WakefieldDaniel James Newton | ||
| 65′ | J. KellyNicholas Clayton-Phillips | ||
| 67′ | Daniel James Newton | ||
| 69′ | Will Evans | ||
| 71′ | Alex MitchellJared Rendle | ||
| 71′ | Kasonga Jonathan NganduBen Stephens | ||
| 71′ | Miracle OkaforTope Obadeyi | ||
| 78′ | Michael Baidoo | ||
| 80′ | Ronan Curtis | ||
| 85′ | Ben Stephens |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 0 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 73 | Possession % | 27 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
Plymouth vs Alvechurch overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Plymouth vs Alvechurch
| Probability | Plymouth | Draw | Alvechurch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.2% | 25.3% | 48.5% |
| Market | 78.5% | 13.7% | 7.7% |
| Final | 65.5% | 16.6% | 17.9% |
| Edge | -13.1% | +2.9% | +10.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Plymouth and Alvechurch expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.07
Plymouth and Alvechurch attack and defence ratings
Plymouth
Alvechurch
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Plymouth vs Alvechurch: result vs prediction
Plymouth 4 – 0 Alvechurch
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Oxford City v Leicester — match page
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Plymouth vs Alvechurch markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plymouth | 65.5% | 1.53 | -13.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plymouth | 65.5% |
| Draw | 16.6% | |
| Alvechurch | 17.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Plymouth win | 11.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.8% | |
| Loss | 73.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.5% |
Plymouth vs Alvechurch stats
Plymouth and Alvechurch recent form
| Plymouth |
DWLLWW |
| Alvechurch |
WDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Plymouth and Alvechurch going into this match
Alvechurch record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Plymouth vs Alvechurch head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Plymouth vs Alvechurch odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 78.5%, draw 13.7%, away 7.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.18 | 6.75 | 13.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.15 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.21 | 6.20 | 10.75 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.21 | 7.40 | 13.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.17 | 6.75 | 13.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.18 | 7.06 | 11.95 |
| SBO | 1.16 | 5.51 | 8.30 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .