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League One · Full time ·Matchday 15

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth

3 – 0 Full time

Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield

Sheffield Wednesday 40%
Draw 27%
Plymouth 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySheffield WednesdayDrawPlymouth
Model36.8%27.6%35.6%
Market41.4%26.3%32.3%
Final40.3%26.6%33.1%
Edge-1.1%+0.3%+0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sheffield Wedn ↓ / Plymouth → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth expected goals

Sheffield Wednesday 1.42
Plymouth 1.39

Total expected goals: 2.80

Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth attack and defence ratings

Sheffield Wednesday

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Plymouth

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth: result vs prediction

Sheffield Wednesday 3 – 0 Plymouth

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 15 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sheffield Wednesday 40.3% 2.48 -1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.2% 1.88 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.0% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.2% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sheffield Wednesday40.3%
Draw26.6%
Plymouth33.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.2%
Under 2.546.8%
Both teams to scoreYes58.0%
No42.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.9%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)59.7%
Handicap -1Sheffield Wednesday win17.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.1%
Loss63.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
2-18.4%
1-28.3%

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth stats

Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth recent form

newest first
Sheffield Wednesday LDDLLW
Plymouth WDWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sheffield Wednesday record

  • They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Plymouth record

  • They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Sheffield Wednesday wins 1Draws 4Plymouth wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-08PlymouthSheffield WednesdayChampionship0-3
2024-08-11Sheffield WednesdayPlymouthChampionship4-0
2024-03-05Sheffield WednesdayPlymouthChampionship1-0
2023-10-25PlymouthSheffield WednesdayChampionship3-0
2023-02-04Sheffield WednesdayPlymouthLeague One1-0
2022-10-04PlymouthSheffield WednesdayLeague One2-1
2022-01-15Sheffield WednesdayPlymouthLeague One4-2
2021-11-16PlymouthSheffield WednesdayFA Cup3-0
2021-11-07Sheffield WednesdayPlymouthFA Cup0-0
2021-09-11PlymouthSheffield WednesdayLeague One3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 26.3%, away 32.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.27 3.54 2.89
Bet365 2.25 3.40 3.00
BetVictor 2.25 3.60 2.90
Betano 2.30 3.50 2.87
Betfair 2.25 3.60 2.88
Dafabet 2.30 3.60 2.95
Marathonbet 2.25 3.54 2.88
Pinnacle 2.34 3.65 2.98
SBO 2.22 3.17 2.60
William Hill 2.20 3.40 2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 —
X 3.54 ▼ -0.06
2 2.88 ▲ +0.04

27 snapshots recorded, from .