Doncaster
vs
Leyton Orient
Garuda Lions Prediction: Leyton Orient
0 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 0.96.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Doncaster vs Leyton Orient overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Doncaster vs Leyton Orient
| Probability | Doncaster | Draw | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.6% | 21.3% | 64.1% |
| Market | 40.5% | 27.4% | 32.1% |
| Final | 34.0% | 25.9% | 40.1% |
| Edge | -6.5% | -1.5% | +8.0% |
Why Leyton Orient
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Leyton Orient below our published probability: +8.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 3.49, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +40.0% per unit staked (our 40.1% × 3.49 − 1).
Doncaster vs Leyton Orient match preview
Doncaster faces Leyton Orient in a League One clash, with the probabilities indicating a competitive match. Doncaster has a 35% chance of winning, while Leyton Orient is favored slightly higher at 39%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-2, with Leyton Orient expected to score significantly more with an expected goals figure of 2.17 compared to Doncaster's 0.96.
In terms of recent form, Doncaster has struggled, recording three losses in their last five matches, while Leyton Orient has shown more resilience with three wins in the same period. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 61%, and both teams scoring is projected at 56%, suggesting an engaging encounter with potential for multiple goals.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Doncaster and Leyton Orient expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Doncaster and Leyton Orient attack and defence ratings
Doncaster
Leyton Orient
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Leicester vs Bradford
- Wigan v Barnsley — match page
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth — team news & stats
- AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
- Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion — match page
- Peterborough vs Oxford United — team news & stats
- Wycombe v Huddersfield — match page
- Luton vs Cambridge United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Doncaster vs Leyton Orient markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leyton Orient | 40.1% | 2.49 | +8.0% | 3.49 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Leyton Orient win | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Doncaster | 34.0% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Leyton Orient | 40.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% |
| No | 44.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leyton Orient win | 41.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 35.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.3% |
| 1-1 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
Doncaster vs Leyton Orient stats
Doncaster and Leyton Orient recent form
| Doncaster |
LLLWLL |
| Leyton Orient |
WWLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Doncaster and Leyton Orient season so far
Doncaster record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Leyton Orient record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
Doncaster vs Leyton Orient head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Doncaster | Leyton Orient | League One | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Leyton Orient | Doncaster | League One | 4-0 |
| 2023-01-07 | Leyton Orient | Doncaster | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-08 | Doncaster | Leyton Orient | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2017-03-18 | Leyton Orient | Doncaster | League Two | 1-4 |
| 2016-11-26 | Doncaster | Leyton Orient | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2015-04-14 | Leyton Orient | Doncaster | League One | 0-1 |
| 2014-10-21 | Doncaster | Leyton Orient | League One | 0-2 |
| 2013-01-19 | Doncaster | Leyton Orient | League One | 2-0 |
| 2012-09-29 | Leyton Orient | Doncaster | League One | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Doncaster vs Leyton Orient odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 27.6%, away 31.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.38 | 3.09 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.27 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.29 | 3.38 | 2.92 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53 | 2.69 | 3.49 |
| SBO | 2.38 | 2.85 | 2.49 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .