Kidderminster Harriers
vs
Doncaster
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kidderminster Harriers
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster
| Probability | Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.8% | 30.7% | 27.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.8% | 30.7% | 27.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster match preview
Kidderminster Harriers will host Doncaster in the FA Cup on November 7, 2026. According to our model, Kidderminster Harriers have a 42% probability of winning, while Doncaster has a 27% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Kidderminster, with a 12% probability. The expected goals for Kidderminster are 1.29, compared to Doncaster's 0.99.
In terms of recent form, Kidderminster has recorded three wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six matches, while Doncaster's recent results show three wins and three losses. Our model suggests a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance that both teams will score. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kidderminster Harriers and Doncaster expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Kidderminster Harriers and Doncaster attack and defence ratings
Kidderminster Harriers
Doncaster
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kidderminster Harriers | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kidderminster Harriers | 41.8% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Doncaster | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kidderminster Harriers win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Kidderminster Harriers vs Doncaster stats
Kidderminster Harriers and Doncaster recent form
| Kidderminster Harriers |
WLLWDW |
| Doncaster |
WLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.