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England FA Cup · Full time ·1/128-finals

Huddersfield vs Exeter City

1 – 2 Full time

12′Jack Paul Taylor
45′Samson TovideBali Mumba
45′Ryan LedsonEthan Brierley
54′Ibane Bowat
59′Lynden GoochCameron Ashia
59′Radinio BalkerLasse Sorensen
76′Sonny CoxJosh Gordon
80′Ashley FletcherJoe Taylor
81′Charlie Cummins
85′Reece ColeVincent Harper
90′George BirchTaylor Perry

John Smith's Stadium, HuddersfieldReferee: Matthew Russell

Huddersfield 64%
Draw 22%
Exeter City 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
46 Possession % 54
10 Corners 5
10 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 6

Huddersfield vs Exeter City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Huddersfield vs Exeter City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHuddersfieldDrawExeter City
Model49.6%32.9%17.5%
Market69.1%18.7%12.3%
Final64.2%22.2%13.6%
Edge-4.9%+3.6%+1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Huddersfield

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.61.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Huddersfield ↓ / Exeter City → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 1 18% 13% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 27%
No goals 17%

Huddersfield and Exeter City expected goals

Huddersfield 1.21
Exeter City 0.61

Total expected goals: 1.82

Huddersfield and Exeter City attack and defence ratings

Huddersfield

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Exeter City

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 0.57 -43%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Huddersfield vs Exeter City: result vs prediction

Huddersfield 1 – 2 Exeter City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

England FA Cup

Before and after this match

Huddersfield vs Exeter City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Huddersfield 64.2% 1.56 -4.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.5% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score No 66.7% 1.50 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.4% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.4% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Huddersfield64.2%
Draw22.2%
Exeter City13.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.5%
Under 2.572.5%
Both teams to scoreYes33.3%
No66.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.4%
12 (either side)77.8%
X2 (draw or away)35.8%
Handicap -1Huddersfield win23.0%
Push (exactly one goal)26.6%
Loss50.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-018.4%
0-017.4%
1-113.2%

Huddersfield vs Exeter City stats

Huddersfield and Exeter City recent form

newest first
Huddersfield DWWWWD
Exeter City LWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Huddersfield vs Exeter City head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

4Huddersfield wins 1Draws 1Exeter City wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-04HuddersfieldExeter CityLeague One2-2
2025-09-27Exeter CityHuddersfieldLeague One0-1
2025-04-26Exeter CityHuddersfieldLeague One3-1
2024-10-26HuddersfieldExeter CityLeague One2-0
2012-02-25HuddersfieldExeter CityLeague One2-0
2011-10-15Exeter CityHuddersfieldLeague One0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Huddersfield vs Exeter City odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 69.1%, draw 18.7%, away 12.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.33 5.15 8.05
Bet365 1.38 4.75 7.50
BetVictor 1.33 4.60 7.50
Betano 1.40 4.85 6.70
Betfair 1.33 5.00 7.00
Dafabet 1.41 5.20 7.20
Marathonbet 1.32 5.15 8.10
Pinnacle 1.36 5.33 7.53
SBO 1.32 4.19 6.09
William Hill 1.33 4.60 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.33 ▲ +0.03
X 4.92 ▼ -0.38
2 7.50 ▼ -1.05

3 snapshots recorded, from .