Huddersfield
vs
Exeter City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Huddersfield
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.67.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Huddersfield vs Exeter City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Huddersfield vs Exeter City
| Probability | Huddersfield | Draw | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.2% | 34.7% | 21.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.2% | 34.7% | 21.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Huddersfield
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.67.
Huddersfield vs Exeter City match preview
Huddersfield faces Exeter City in the FA Cup with a probability of 44% for a Huddersfield win, 35% for a draw, and 21% for an Exeter City victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 17% chance. Expected goals stand at 1.09 for Huddersfield and 0.67 for Exeter City, indicating a stronger attacking performance anticipated from Huddersfield.
Recent form shows Huddersfield with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while Exeter City has also performed well with three wins, one draw, and one loss. In their last two encounters, Huddersfield has secured one win and one draw against Exeter City, who have yet to win in this matchup. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Huddersfield and Exeter City expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.77
Huddersfield and Exeter City attack and defence ratings
Huddersfield
Exeter City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
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- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
- Port Vale vs Scunthorpe — team news & stats
- Accrington ST vs Wycombe
Before and after this match
Huddersfield vs Exeter City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huddersfield | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Huddersfield | 44.2% |
| Draw | 34.7% | |
| Exeter City | 21.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.8% |
| No | 66.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Huddersfield win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.3% |
| 1-0 | 17.4% | |
| 1-1 | 13.8% |
Huddersfield vs Exeter City stats
Huddersfield and Exeter City recent form
| Huddersfield |
WWWDWL |
| Exeter City |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Huddersfield vs Exeter City head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Huddersfield | Exeter City | League One | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Exeter City | Huddersfield | League One | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.