England FA Cup · Full time ·4th Round Qualifying

Kidderminster Harriers vs Solihull Moors

2 – 1 Full time

2′Solihull Moors
4′Kidderminster Harriers
15′Kidderminster Harriers
36′Kidderminster Harriers
52′Kidderminster Harriers
58′Solihull Moors
63′Solihull Moors
91′Kidderminster Harriers
94′Kidderminster Harriers

Aggborough, Kidderminster

Kidderminster Harriers 50%
Draw 25%
Solihull Moors 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
47 Possession % 53
5 Corners 5

Kidderminster Harriers vs Solihull Moors overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kidderminster Harriers vs Solihull Moors

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKidderminster HarriersDrawSolihull Moors
Model41.3%28.5%30.2%
Market53.3%24.5%22.2%
Final50.3%25.5%24.2%
Edge-12.0%+4.0%+8.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Kidderminster Harriers

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 5 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kidderminster ↓ / Solihull Moors → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 14% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Kidderminster Harriers and Solihull Moors expected goals

Kidderminster Harriers 1.44
Solihull Moors 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.63

Kidderminster Harriers and Solihull Moors attack and defence ratings

Kidderminster Harriers

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Solihull Moors

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kidderminster Harriers vs Solihull Moors: result vs prediction

Kidderminster Harriers 2 – 1 Solihull Moors

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures

England FA Cup

Kidderminster Harriers vs Solihull Moors markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kidderminster Harriers 50.3% 1.99 -12.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.0% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.8% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.7% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kidderminster Harriers50.3%
Draw25.5%
Solihull Moors24.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.0%
Under 2.551.0%
Both teams to scoreYes54.4%
No45.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.8%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)49.7%
Handicap -1Kidderminster Harriers win20.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss58.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-09.1%
2-18.9%

Kidderminster Harriers vs Solihull Moors stats

Kidderminster Harriers and Solihull Moors recent form

newest first
Kidderminster Harriers LLWDW
Solihull Moors LLWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Kidderminster Harriers vs Solihull Moors head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Kidderminster Harriers wins 0Draws 2Solihull Moors wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-08-02Kidderminster HarriersSolihull MoorsFriendlies Clubs1-2
2024-02-27Solihull MoorsKidderminster HarriersNational League0-1
2023-09-16Kidderminster HarriersSolihull MoorsNational League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kidderminster Harriers vs Solihull Moors odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.3%, draw 24.5%, away 22.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.69 3.68 4.14
Bet365 1.73 3.80 4.00
Marathonbet 1.67 3.68 4.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.69 —
X 3.68 —
2 4.05 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .