Bury
vs
Harrogate Town
1 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | Bury | ||
| 39′ | Harrogate Town | ||
| 41′ | Bury | ||
| 46′ | Harrogate Town | ||
| 63′ | Harrogate Town | ||
| 76′ | Harrogate Town | ||
| 87′ | Bury | ||
| 88′ | Bury |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 0 | Offsides | 0 |
Bury vs Harrogate Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bury vs Harrogate Town
| Probability | Bury | Draw | Harrogate Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.0% | 18.0% | 10.0% |
| Market | 26.3% | 24.4% | 49.3% |
| Final | 37.7% | 22.8% | 39.5% |
| Edge | +45.7% | -6.4% | -39.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bury and Harrogate Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.25
Bury and Harrogate Town attack and defence ratings
Bury
Harrogate Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bury vs Harrogate Town: result vs prediction
Bury 1 – 1 Harrogate Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
- Southend vs Berkhamsted — team news & stats
- Hartlepool v Marine — match page
- Carlisle vs Tamworth — team news & stats
- Macclesfield vs Anstey Nomads
- Aldershot Town v Tadley Calleva — match page
- Barrow vs Gloucester City — team news & stats
- Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town
- Gateshead v Stafford Rangers — match page
Before and after this match
Bury vs Harrogate Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Harrogate Town | 39.5% | 2.53 | -39.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bury | 37.7% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Harrogate Town | 39.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% |
| No | 48.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Harrogate Town win | 3.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 6.9% | |
| Loss | 90.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 3-0 | 9.2% |
Bury vs Harrogate Town stats
Bury and Harrogate Town recent form
| Bury |
WWWLDW |
| Harrogate Town |
LWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bury vs Harrogate Town head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Bury vs Harrogate Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.3%, draw 24.4%, away 49.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.46 | 3.70 | 1.83 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.85 |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 3.70 | 1.81 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .