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England FA Cup · Full time ·4th Round Qualifying

Barrow vs Gloucester City

0 – 0 Full time

Holker Street, Barrow-In-Furness

Barrow 53%
Draw 22%
Gloucester City 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Barrow vs Gloucester City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Barrow vs Gloucester City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBarrowDrawGloucester City
Model14.4%23.2%62.4%
Market66.5%21.5%12.0%
Final53.5%21.9%24.6%
Edge-52.1%+1.8%+50.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Barrow ↓ / Gloucester Cit → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 11% 12% 8% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Barrow and Gloucester City expected goals

Barrow 0.83
Gloucester City 1.94

Total expected goals: 2.78

Barrow and Gloucester City attack and defence ratings

Barrow

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Gloucester City

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Barrow vs Gloucester City: result vs prediction

Barrow 0 – 0 Gloucester City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures

England FA Cup

Before and after this match

Barrow vs Gloucester City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Barrow 53.5% 1.87 -52.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.5% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score No 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.1% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 85.6% 1.17 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Barrow53.5%
Draw21.9%
Gloucester City24.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.5%
Under 2.547.5%
Both teams to scoreYes49.5%
No50.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.4%
12 (either side)78.1%
X2 (draw or away)46.5%
Handicap -1Barrow win4.7%
Push (exactly one goal)9.7%
Loss85.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-211.7%
1-111.1%
0-111.1%

Barrow vs Gloucester City stats

Barrow and Gloucester City recent form

newest first
Barrow LLLWLL
Gloucester City WWWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Barrow vs Gloucester City head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Barrow vs Gloucester City odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.5%, draw 21.5%, away 12.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.35 4.20 7.90
Bet365 1.42 4.10 6.00
BetVictor 1.36 4.80 7.50
Marathonbet 1.34 4.20 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.35 —
X 4.20 —
2 7.50 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .