England FA Cup
·
Full time
·4th Round Qualifying
Gateshead
vs
Stafford Rangers
1 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | Gateshead | ||
| 5′ | Stafford Rangers | ||
| 41′ | Stafford Rangers | ||
| 78′ | Gateshead |
Gateshead
36%
Draw
29%
Stafford Rangers
35%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
Gateshead vs Stafford Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gateshead vs Stafford Rangers
| Probability | Gateshead | Draw | Stafford Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 29.1% | 35.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.8% | 29.1% | 35.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Gateshead and Stafford Rangers expected goals
Gateshead
1.29
Stafford Rangers
1.28
Total expected goals: 2.57
Gateshead and Stafford Rangers attack and defence ratings
Gateshead
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Stafford Rangers
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gateshead vs Stafford Rangers: result vs prediction
Gateshead 1 – 1 Stafford Rangers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
Gateshead vs Stafford Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gateshead | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gateshead | 35.8% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Stafford Rangers | 35.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% |
| No | 46.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gateshead win | 16.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 64.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-0 | 8.9% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Gateshead vs Stafford Rangers stats
Gateshead and Stafford Rangers recent form
| Gateshead |
LWWLD |
| Stafford Rangers |
WDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.