England FA Cup
·
Full time
·4th Round Qualifying
Stafford Rangers
vs
Gateshead
5 – 0 Full time
Stafford Rangers
46%
Draw
29%
Gateshead
25%
Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead
| Probability | Stafford Rangers | Draw | Gateshead |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 29.0% | 24.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.1% | 29.0% | 24.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stafford Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Stafford Rangers and Gateshead expected goals
Stafford Rangers
1.45
Gateshead
1.00
Total expected goals: 2.45
Stafford Rangers and Gateshead attack and defence ratings
Stafford Rangers
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Gateshead
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead: result vs prediction
Stafford Rangers 5 – 0 Gateshead
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stafford Rangers | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stafford Rangers | 46.1% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Gateshead | 24.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stafford Rangers win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.2% | |
| 0-0 | 9.9% |
Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead stats
Stafford Rangers and Gateshead recent form
| Stafford Rangers |
DWDWWL |
| Gateshead |
DLWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stafford Rangers and Gateshead going into this match
Stafford Rangers record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Stafford Rangers wins
1Draws
0Gateshead wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Gateshead | Stafford Rangers | England FA Cup | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.