Stafford Rangers
vs
Grimsby
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stafford Rangers
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.98.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby
| Probability | Stafford Rangers | Draw | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.9% | 24.1% | 18.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.9% | 24.1% | 18.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stafford Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby match preview
Stafford Rangers enter this FA Cup match against Grimsby with a strong probability of winning at 58%. Their recent form shows a solid performance, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. The model predicts a most likely scoreline of 2-0 in favor of Stafford Rangers, which aligns with their expected goals of 1.91 compared to Grimsby's 0.98.
In contrast, Grimsby has struggled recently, recording one win and four losses in their last five games. The probabilities suggest a 24% chance of a draw and an 18% chance of a Grimsby victory. Additionally, there is a 55% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are forecasted to score at a rate of 54%. The confidence grade for this match stands at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stafford Rangers and Grimsby expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
Stafford Rangers and Grimsby attack and defence ratings
Stafford Rangers
Grimsby
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
- Port Vale vs Scunthorpe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stafford Rangers | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stafford Rangers | 57.9% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Grimsby | 18.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% |
| No | 45.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stafford Rangers win | 34.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 42.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-0 | 10.1% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby stats
Stafford Rangers and Grimsby recent form
| Stafford Rangers |
WDWDWW |
| Grimsby |
WDLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stafford Rangers and Grimsby season so far
Stafford Rangers record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.