England FA Cup
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Stafford Rangers
vs
Grimsby
3 – 3 Full time
| 3′ | Darrhyl Mason | ||
| 6′ | Bebeto António Gomes | ||
| 43′ | J. Birch | ||
| 45′ | Cameron McJannett | ||
| 45′ | Finn CartwrightJamie Walker | ||
| 45′ | Charles VernamJustin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor | ||
| 64′ | Remi EfunnugaKyle Sambor | ||
| 67′ | Josh andrewsAndy Cook | ||
| 74′ | Harvey Rodgers | ||
| 76′ | T. Tonks | ||
| 76′ | Maldini Kacurri | ||
| 77′ | Scott bakkorEllis Horan | ||
| 80′ | Joe Dunne | ||
| 89′ | Harvey Rodgers | ||
| 90′ | Joe FoulkesJayden Sweeney | ||
| 93′ | Darrhyl Mason | ||
| 95′ | Iwan MorganSonny Finch | ||
| 99′ | Darrhyl MasonW. Da Silva | ||
| 105′ | Mark SheltonCian Doyle | ||
| 105′ | Géza Dávid Turi | ||
| 120′ | T. TonksLuca Navarro | ||
| 120′ | Todd Ferrierluke banks | ||
| 120′ | Jamie Walker | ||
| 120′ | Luca Navarro | ||
| 122′ | luke banks | ||
| 123′ | Andy Cook | ||
| 124′ | Cian Doyle | ||
| 125′ | Kyle Sambor | ||
| 126′ | Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor |
Stafford Rangers
24%
Draw
20%
Grimsby
57%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 29 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Offsides | 3 |
| 6 | Saves | 3 |
| 119 | Accurate passes | 373 |
Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby
| Probability | Stafford Rangers | Draw | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.0% | 23.7% | 21.3% |
| Market | 13.1% | 18.3% | 68.6% |
| Final | 23.5% | 19.7% | 56.8% |
| Edge | +10.5% | +1.4% | -11.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Stafford Rangers and Grimsby expected goals
Stafford Rangers
1.97
Grimsby
1.17
Total expected goals: 3.14
Stafford Rangers and Grimsby attack and defence ratings
Stafford Rangers
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
0.69 -31%
Grimsby
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby: result vs prediction
Stafford Rangers 3 – 3 Grimsby
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Oxford City v Leicester — match page
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grimsby | 56.8% | 1.76 | -11.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stafford Rangers | 23.5% |
| Draw | 19.7% | |
| Grimsby | 56.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% |
| No | 39.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Grimsby win | 8.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.6% | |
| Loss | 78.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.4% |
Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby stats
Stafford Rangers and Grimsby recent form
| Stafford Rangers |
WDWDWW |
| Grimsby |
WWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stafford Rangers and Grimsby going into this match
Stafford Rangers record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 13.1%, draw 18.3%, away 68.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.65 | 5.15 | 1.34 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.36 |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 4.80 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 6.90 | 4.85 | 1.37 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| Dafabet | 7.40 | 5.40 | 1.39 |
| Marathonbet | 7.70 | 5.15 | 1.33 |
| Pinnacle | 7.04 | 5.22 | 1.35 |
| SBO | 5.99 | 4.56 | 1.29 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 4.75 | 1.33 |