Hartlepool
vs
Marine
0 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | Marine | ||
| 32′ | Hartlepool | ||
| 38′ | Marine | ||
| 56′ | Hartlepool | ||
| 71′ | Marine | ||
| 77′ | Marine |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
Hartlepool vs Marine overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hartlepool vs Marine
| Probability | Hartlepool | Draw | Marine |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.6% | 24.0% | 48.4% |
| Market | 61.8% | 21.6% | 16.6% |
| Final | 53.3% | 22.2% | 24.5% |
| Edge | -34.2% | +2.4% | +31.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hartlepool and Marine expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.37
Hartlepool and Marine attack and defence ratings
Hartlepool
Marine
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hartlepool vs Marine: result vs prediction
Hartlepool 0 – 2 Marine
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
Hartlepool vs Marine markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hartlepool | 53.3% | 1.88 | -34.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hartlepool | 53.3% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Marine | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.1% |
| No | 33.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hartlepool win | 12.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.8% | |
| Loss | 72.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 6.8% |
Hartlepool vs Marine stats
Hartlepool and Marine recent form
| Hartlepool |
LDLD |
| Marine |
WWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Hartlepool vs Marine head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Hartlepool vs Marine odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.8%, draw 21.6%, away 16.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 4.15 | 5.63 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.15 | 5.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .