Leyton Orient
vs
Harborough Town
5 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | Armando Dobra | ||
| 24′ | R. McAuley | ||
| 25′ | Aaron Connolly | ||
| 50′ | Idris El Mizouni | ||
| 51′ | George CarlineS Bello | ||
| 51′ | Britt AssombalongaDempsey Arlott-John | ||
| 56′ | S Bello | ||
| 59′ | Devon Jerome Kelly-EvansPaul Malone | ||
| 60′ | J. Walsh | ||
| 65′ | Rarmani Edmonds-GreenJoseph Olowu | ||
| 65′ | Jaze KabiaDane Scarlett | ||
| 69′ | Paul Malone | ||
| 73′ | Michael JacobsCallum James Powell | ||
| 73′ | Riley Cole O'SullivanKyle Hudlin | ||
| 76′ | Somto BonifacePhillip Chinedu | ||
| 76′ | Aaron ConnollyTony Springett | ||
| 77′ | Armando Dobra | ||
| 78′ | Alfie Gilchrist | ||
| 81′ | Tony Springett | ||
| 84′ | Armando DobraYusuf Akhamrich | ||
| 86′ | Richard Paul Wellens | ||
| 87′ | Mitchell Austin | ||
| 87′ | Paul Malone | ||
| 90′ | Idris El Mizouni |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town
| Probability | Leyton Orient | Draw | Harborough Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 27.9% | 36.3% |
| Market | 67.8% | 18.4% | 13.8% |
| Final | 59.8% | 20.8% | 19.4% |
| Edge | -8.0% | +2.4% | +5.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leyton Orient and Harborough Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Leyton Orient and Harborough Town attack and defence ratings
Leyton Orient
Harborough Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town: result vs prediction
Leyton Orient 5 – 1 Harborough Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
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- Oxford City v Leicester — match page
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leyton Orient | 59.8% | 1.67 | -8.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leyton Orient | 59.8% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Harborough Town | 19.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% |
| No | 42.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leyton Orient win | 16.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 64.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town stats
Leyton Orient and Harborough Town recent form
| Leyton Orient |
WLLWDL |
| Harborough Town |
WWWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.8%, draw 18.4%, away 13.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 5.05 | 7.08 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.39 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 5.40 | 7.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 5.05 | 7.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 5.27 | 6.85 |
| SBO | 1.33 | 4.22 | 5.70 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .