Leyton Orient
vs
Harborough Town
Garuda Lions Prediction: Harborough Town
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town
| Probability | Leyton Orient | Draw | Harborough Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 28.0% | 42.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.8% | 28.0% | 42.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Harborough Town
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town match preview
Leyton Orient faces Harborough Town in the FA Cup with Leyton Orient having a 30% probability of winning, compared to Harborough Town's 42%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Harborough Town, with a 9% chance of this outcome occurring. Both teams have shown varying recent form, with Leyton Orient recording two losses and one win in their last five matches, while Harborough Town has achieved three wins in their last five games.
In terms of expected goals, Leyton Orient is forecasted to score 1.22, while Harborough Town is expected to net 1.49 goals. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 51%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 56%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leyton Orient and Harborough Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
Leyton Orient and Harborough Town attack and defence ratings
Leyton Orient
Harborough Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
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- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
- Port Vale vs Scunthorpe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Harborough Town | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leyton Orient | 29.8% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Harborough Town | 42.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% |
| No | 44.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Harborough Town win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 0-1 | 8.8% |
Leyton Orient vs Harborough Town stats
Leyton Orient and Harborough Town recent form
| Leyton Orient |
LLWDLW |
| Harborough Town |
WWWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.