Wigan
vs
Barnsley
2 – 1 Full time
Wigan vs Barnsley overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wigan vs Barnsley
| Probability | Wigan | Draw | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.4% | 24.9% | 33.7% |
| Market | 40.6% | 25.4% | 34.0% |
| Final | 40.8% | 25.3% | 33.9% |
| Edge | +0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
Why Wigan
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wigan and Barnsley expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.32
Wigan and Barnsley attack and defence ratings
Wigan
Barnsley
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wigan vs Barnsley: result vs prediction
Wigan 2 – 1 Barnsley
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Leicester vs Bradford
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth — team news & stats
- AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
- Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion — match page
- Peterborough vs Oxford United — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Leyton Orient
- Wycombe v Huddersfield — match page
- Luton vs Cambridge United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Wigan vs Barnsley markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wigan | 40.8% | 2.45 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wigan | 40.8% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Barnsley | 33.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% |
| No | 33.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wigan win | 22.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Wigan vs Barnsley stats
Wigan and Barnsley recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wigan and Barnsley going into this match
Wigan record
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 14 matches.
Barnsley record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wigan vs Barnsley head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Barnsley | Wigan | League Cup | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Barnsley | Wigan | League One | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Wigan | Barnsley | League One | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Wigan | Barnsley | League One | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Barnsley | Wigan | League One | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-13 | Wigan | Barnsley | League Cup | 1-1 |
| 2024-01-01 | Barnsley | Wigan | League One | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-26 | Wigan | Barnsley | League One | 0-2 |
| 2020-07-11 | Barnsley | Wigan | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2019-08-31 | Wigan | Barnsley | Championship | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wigan vs Barnsley odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 25.4%, away 34.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.65 | 2.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.65 | 2.77 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.90 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.33 | 3.75 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.29 | 3.65 | 2.74 |
| Pinnacle | 2.34 | 3.99 | 2.79 |
| SBO | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.54 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .