Boreham Wood
vs
Wigan
0 – 3 Full time
| 11′ | Jon Mellish | ||
| 36′ | Morgan Fox | ||
| 58′ | Jay BirdMatt Rush | ||
| 68′ | T. GoldenJ. Clarke | ||
| 68′ | Ben WhitfieldDanny Cashman | ||
| 70′ | Connor BarrettK'Marni Miller | ||
| 71′ | Christian SaydeeReggie Walsh | ||
| 74′ | Morgan Fox | ||
| 79′ | Max PowerRyan Trevitt | ||
| 79′ | Bradley BurrowesCharlie Gray | ||
| 81′ | Finley BurnsSonny Tufail Perkins | ||
| 86′ | Chris BushWilliam Wright | ||
| 86′ | Tarryn AllarakhiaConor Wilkinson |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 88 | Possession % | 12 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
Boreham Wood vs Wigan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Boreham Wood vs Wigan
| Probability | Boreham Wood | Draw | Wigan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.9% | 21.0% | 12.1% |
| Market | 54.5% | 22.6% | 22.9% |
| Final | 57.6% | 22.2% | 20.2% |
| Edge | +3.1% | -0.4% | -2.7% |
Why Boreham Wood
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Boreham Wood below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Boreham Wood and Wigan expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Boreham Wood and Wigan attack and defence ratings
Boreham Wood
Wigan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Boreham Wood vs Wigan: result vs prediction
Boreham Wood 0 – 3 Wigan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Oxford City v Leicester — match page
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Boreham Wood vs Wigan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boreham Wood | 57.6% | 1.74 | +3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Boreham Wood win | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boreham Wood | 57.6% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Wigan | 20.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Boreham Wood win | 43.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 33.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.0% |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.1% |
Boreham Wood vs Wigan stats
Boreham Wood and Wigan recent form
| Boreham Wood |
WLWWWD |
| Wigan |
DWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Boreham Wood vs Wigan head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Boreham Wood vs Wigan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.5%, draw 22.6%, away 22.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 4.10 | 4.03 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.05 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 4.10 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 4.14 | 4.41 |
| SBO | 1.62 | 3.52 | 3.74 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .