England FA Cup · Full time ·4th Round Qualifying

Boreham Wood vs Woking

3 – 2 Full time

14′Boreham Wood
17′Woking
26′Boreham Wood
37′Boreham Wood
45′Woking
73′Woking
85′Boreham Wood

Meadow Park, Borehamwood

Boreham Wood 65%
Draw 21%
Woking 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 7
59 Possession % 41
6 Corners 4

Boreham Wood vs Woking overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Boreham Wood vs Woking

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBoreham WoodDrawWoking
Model69.6%17.5%12.9%
Market63.3%21.6%15.1%
Final64.8%20.6%14.5%
Edge+1.6%-1.0%-0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Boreham Wood

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.66 vs 1.11.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Boreham Wood ↓ / Woking → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 7% 8% 4+ 9% 10% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Boreham Wood and Woking expected goals

Boreham Wood 2.66
Woking 1.11

Total expected goals: 3.77

Boreham Wood and Woking attack and defence ratings

Boreham Wood

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Woking

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Boreham Wood vs Woking: result vs prediction

Boreham Wood 3 – 2 Woking

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures

England FA Cup

Before and after this match

Boreham Wood vs Woking markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Boreham Wood 64.8% 1.54 +1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.6% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.1% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.5% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Boreham Wood win 49.3% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Boreham Wood64.8%
Draw20.6%
Woking14.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.6%
Under 2.527.4%
Both teams to scoreYes63.1%
No36.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.5%
12 (either side)79.4%
X2 (draw or away)35.2%
Handicap -1Boreham Wood win49.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss30.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.1%
2-08.2%
3-18.0%

Boreham Wood vs Woking stats

Boreham Wood and Woking recent form

newest first
Boreham Wood LWWWDW
Woking LDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Boreham Wood vs Woking head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Boreham Wood wins 3Draws 2Woking wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-10WokingBoreham WoodNational League2-2
2025-09-27Boreham WoodWokingNational League1-0
2024-02-03WokingBoreham WoodNational League0-1
2023-11-25Boreham WoodWokingNational League4-2
2023-02-11WokingBoreham WoodNational League2-2
2022-11-12Boreham WoodWokingNational League0-1
2022-04-02Boreham WoodWokingNational League0-1
2021-12-11WokingBoreham WoodNational League0-2
2021-03-09WokingBoreham WoodNational League0-0
2020-10-27Boreham WoodWokingNational League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Boreham Wood vs Woking odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.3%, draw 21.6%, away 15.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.42 4.15 6.22
Bet365 1.45 4.20 5.75
Marathonbet 1.41 4.15 5.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.42 —
X 4.15 —
2 5.95 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .