England FA Cup · Full time ·4th Round Qualifying

Boreham Wood vs Woking

3 – 2 Full time

14′Boreham Wood
17′Woking
26′Boreham Wood
37′Boreham Wood
45′Woking
73′Woking
85′Boreham Wood

Meadow Park, Borehamwood

Boreham Wood 65%
Draw 21%
Woking 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 7
59 Possession % 41
6 Corners 4

Boreham Wood vs Woking overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Boreham Wood vs Woking

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBoreham WoodDrawWoking
Model69.6%17.5%12.9%
Market63.3%21.6%15.1%
Final64.8%20.6%14.5%
Edge+6.3%-4.1%-2.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Boreham Wood

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.66 vs 1.11.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Boreham Wood below the model: +6.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Boreham Wood ↓ / Woking → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 7% 8% 4+ 9% 10% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Boreham Wood and Woking expected goals

Boreham Wood 2.66
Woking 1.11

Total expected goals: 3.77

Boreham Wood and Woking attack and defence ratings

Boreham Wood

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Woking

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Boreham Wood vs Woking: result vs prediction

Boreham Wood 3 – 2 Woking

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures

England FA Cup

Boreham Wood vs Woking markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Boreham Wood 64.8% 1.54 +6.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.6% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.1% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.5% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Boreham Wood win 49.3% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Boreham Wood64.8%
Draw20.6%
Woking14.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.6%
Under 2.527.4%
Both teams to scoreYes63.1%
No36.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.5%
12 (either side)79.4%
X2 (draw or away)35.2%
Handicap -1Boreham Wood win49.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss30.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.1%
2-08.2%
3-18.0%

Boreham Wood vs Woking stats

Boreham Wood and Woking recent form

newest first
Boreham Wood LWWWDW
Woking LDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Boreham Wood vs Woking head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Boreham Wood wins 3Draws 2Woking wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-10WokingBoreham WoodNational League2-2
2025-09-27Boreham WoodWokingNational League1-0
2024-02-03WokingBoreham WoodNational League0-1
2023-11-25Boreham WoodWokingNational League4-2
2023-02-11WokingBoreham WoodNational League2-2
2022-11-12Boreham WoodWokingNational League0-1
2022-04-02Boreham WoodWokingNational League0-1
2021-12-11WokingBoreham WoodNational League0-2
2021-03-09WokingBoreham WoodNational League0-0
2020-10-27Boreham WoodWokingNational League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Boreham Wood vs Woking odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.3%, draw 21.6%, away 15.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.42 4.15 6.22
Bet365 1.45 4.20 5.75
Marathonbet 1.41 4.15 5.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.42 —
X 4.15 —
2 5.95 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .