Wigan
vs
Mansfield Town
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wigan
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Wigan vs Mansfield Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wigan vs Mansfield Town
| Probability | Wigan | Draw | Mansfield Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.6% | 29.7% | 34.7% |
| Market | 40.3% | 26.6% | 33.1% |
| Final | 39.1% | 27.4% | 33.5% |
| Edge | -4.7% | +3.1% | +1.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Wigan vs Mansfield Town match preview
Wigan faces Mansfield Town in a League One clash with both teams showing mixed recent form. Wigan's last six matches include two wins and four losses, while Mansfield Town has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their recent outings. The model assigns Wigan a 36% chance of winning, with Mansfield Town at 35%, and a 30% probability of a draw.
The expected goals for the match are closely matched, with Wigan at 1.25 and Mansfield Town at 1.23. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Wigan, occurring with a probability of 9%. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% likelihood that both teams will score. Wigan has a favorable head-to-head record, winning two of the last three encounters against Mansfield Town, who have yet to secure a win in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wigan and Mansfield Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Wigan and Mansfield Town attack and defence ratings
Wigan
Mansfield Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wigan vs Mansfield Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wigan | 39.1% | 2.56 | -4.7% | 2.32 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wigan | 39.1% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Mansfield Town | 33.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wigan win | 16.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 64.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.2% |
Wigan vs Mansfield Town stats
Wigan and Mansfield Town recent form
| Wigan |
LDLWLL |
| Mansfield Town |
DDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wigan and Mansfield Town season so far
Wigan record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
Mansfield Town record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wigan vs Mansfield Town head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Wigan | Mansfield Town | League One | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Mansfield Town | Wigan | League One | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-04 | Mansfield Town | Wigan | League One | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-14 | Mansfield Town | Wigan | England FA Cup | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-22 | Wigan | Mansfield Town | League One | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wigan vs Mansfield Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 26.7%, away 32.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.48 | 2.84 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.48 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.64 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .