Blackpool
vs
Leicester
Garuda Lions Prediction: Blackpool
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Blackpool vs Leicester overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Blackpool vs Leicester
| Probability | Blackpool | Draw | Leicester |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.7% | 23.7% | 25.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.7% | 23.7% | 25.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Blackpool
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.38.
Blackpool vs Leicester match preview
Blackpool faces Leicester in a League One clash, with model probabilities indicating a 51% chance of a Blackpool victory, a 24% likelihood of a draw, and a 26% chance for Leicester. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Blackpool, which has a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to an entertaining match, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and the same percentage for both teams to score.
In terms of recent form, Blackpool has struggled with a record of L-D-L-L-W-L, while Leicester has shown some inconsistency with D-W-L-W-D-L. Expected goals suggest Blackpool is projected to score 1.98, compared to Leicester's 1.37, indicating a potential edge for the home side in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Blackpool and Leicester expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
Blackpool and Leicester attack and defence ratings
Blackpool
Leicester
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Blackpool vs Leicester markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackpool | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackpool | 50.7% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Leicester | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.2% |
| No | 34.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Blackpool win | 29.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 49.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 6.9% |
Blackpool vs Leicester stats
Blackpool and Leicester recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Blackpool and Leicester season so far
Blackpool record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Leicester record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.