Peterborough
vs
Notts County
Garuda Lions Prediction: Peterborough
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Peterborough vs Notts County overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Peterborough vs Notts County
| Probability | Peterborough | Draw | Notts County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 30.6% | 33.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.2% | 30.6% | 33.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Best available price on the pick: 2.19, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Peterborough and Notts County expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Peterborough and Notts County attack and defence ratings
Peterborough
Notts County
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Peterborough vs Notts County markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterborough | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | 2.19 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterborough | 36.2% |
| Draw | 30.6% | |
| Notts County | 33.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Peterborough win | 14.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 65.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 10.8% | |
| 1-0 | 10.1% |
Peterborough vs Notts County stats
Peterborough and Notts County recent form
| Peterborough |
LLDDLD |
| Notts County |
LLDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Peterborough and Notts County season so far
Peterborough record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Notts County record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Peterborough vs Notts County head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-30 | Peterborough | Notts County | England FA Cup | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Peterborough vs Notts County odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.1%, draw 25.9%, away 31.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.16 | 3.62 | 3.02 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 3.62 | 3.02 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.70 | 3.04 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .