Sheffield Wednesday
vs
Cambridge United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sheffield Wednesday
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United
| Probability | Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Cambridge United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.2% | 30.2% | 27.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.2% | 30.2% | 27.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sheffield Wednesday
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United match preview
Sheffield Wednesday hosts Cambridge United in this League One clash, with the home side holding a 42% probability of victory compared to Cambridge's 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Sheffield Wednesday, with an 11% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Sheffield Wednesday stand at 1.31, while Cambridge United is projected at 1.00.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Sheffield Wednesday recording two wins in their last five matches, while Cambridge United has also secured two wins in the same timeframe. The probabilities indicate a 30% chance of a draw, and there is a 42% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. Additionally, both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 48%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sheffield Wednesday and Cambridge United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Sheffield Wednesday and Cambridge United attack and defence ratings
Sheffield Wednesday
Cambridge United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 42.2% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| Cambridge United | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.3% |
| No | 51.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheffield Wednesday win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 57.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 0-0 | 10.9% |
Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United stats
Sheffield Wednesday and Cambridge United recent form
| Sheffield Wednesday |
DDWWWL |
| Cambridge United |
DDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sheffield Wednesday and Cambridge United season so far
Sheffield Wednesday record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cambridge United record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.