Sheffield Wednesday
vs
Blackpool
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sheffield Wednesday
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.13.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Sheffield Wednesday is the favourite, not a value bet.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool
| Probability | Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.7% | 21.6% | 17.6% |
| Market | 57.5% | 22.7% | 19.7% |
| Final | 58.3% | 22.5% | 19.2% |
| Edge | +0.8% | -0.3% | -0.5% |
Why Sheffield Wednesday
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.13.
Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.8% per unit staked (our 58.3% × 1.65 − 1).
Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool match preview
Sheffield Wednesday enters the match against Blackpool with a 61% probability of winning, while Blackpool has an 18% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Sheffield Wednesday, with a 10% likelihood. The model suggests a high-scoring game, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of expected goals, Sheffield Wednesday is forecasted to achieve 2.19, compared to Blackpool's 1.13. Recent form shows Sheffield Wednesday with two losses followed by three draws and a win, while Blackpool has faced a challenging stretch, losing four of their last five matches with one draw. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.32
Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool attack and defence ratings
Sheffield Wednesday
Blackpool
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 58.3% | 1.71 | +0.8% | 1.65 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 58.3% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Blackpool | 19.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% |
| No | 39.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheffield Wednesday win | 38.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 39.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool stats
Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool recent form
| Sheffield Wednesday |
LLWDDD |
| Blackpool |
LWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool season so far
Sheffield Wednesday record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Blackpool record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.5%, draw 22.7%, away 19.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.20 | 4.69 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.20 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 4.20 | 4.75 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.50 |